Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
Abe J.
25'
25'
Abe J.
Assist: Eden L.
45'
45'
Harvey R.
Assist: Corry S.
AI Match Summary
Liverpool U18 in this Premier League U18 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Liverpool U18.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Liverpool U18
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Liverpool U18 at 2.62 per game, Derby U18 at 1.79.
- Win probability leans Liverpool U18's way, sitting at 70%.
- Regular Premier League U18 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 97%).
- Derby U18 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 97%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83.4%
Liverpool U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Derby U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Liverpool U18 | Derby U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 14 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.62 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.66 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.56 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 8, 2026 Premier League U18
Derby U18 vs Liverpool U18
4:3
Jan 30, 2026 Premier League U18
Liverpool U18 vs Derby U18
4:2
Jan 25, 2025 Premier League U18
Liverpool U18 vs Derby U18
1:4
Aug 17, 2024 Premier League U18
Derby U18 vs Liverpool U18
5:1
May 11, 2024 Premier League U18
Derby U18 vs Liverpool U18
5:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Liverpool U18 Compare
Top Goalscorer Abe J.
2 Goals Assists Leader O'Connor O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28
Derby U18 Compare
Top Goalscorer Harvey R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Clarke K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Liverpool U18 65 / 100
Derby U18 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Liverpool U18 Derby U18
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Liverpool U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Liverpool U18 found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).
Derby U18's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.
Liverpool U18 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Liverpool U18 VS Derby U18
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Liverpool U18
(Home) 12 Sept
Liverpool U18
4 : 2 Burnley U18
29 Aug
Wolves U18
2 : 4 Liverpool U18
22 Aug
Liverpool U18
2 : 2 Middlesbrough U18
15 Aug
Manchester City U18
2 : 1 Liverpool U18
08 May
Derby U18
4 : 3 Liverpool U18
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Liverpool U18
4 : 2 Burnley U18
22 Aug
Liverpool U18
2 : 2 Middlesbrough U18
02 May
Liverpool U18
1 : 2 Middlesbrough U18
07 Mar
Liverpool U18
0 : 3 Manchester City U18
14 Feb
Liverpool U18
6 : 1 Leeds U18
Page 1 of 3
Derby U18
(Away) 12 Sept
Stoke City U18
0 : 2 Derby U18
05 Sept
Derby U18
0 : 2 Nottingham U18
29 Aug
Middlesbrough U18
1 : 3 Derby U18
22 Aug
Derby U18
1 : 4 Burnley U18
15 Aug
Newcastle Utd U18
3 : 1 Derby U18
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Stoke City U18
0 : 2 Derby U18
29 Aug
Middlesbrough U18
1 : 3 Derby U18
15 Aug
Newcastle Utd U18
3 : 1 Derby U18
02 May
Manchester City U18
5 : 3 Derby U18
11 Apr
Wolves U18
1 : 2 Derby U18
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City U18 | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 96:39 | 60 |
| 2 | Manchester United U18 | 26 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 65:24 | 56 |
| 3 | Newcastle Utd U18 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 55:44 | 49 |
| 4 | Everton U18 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 54:45 | 42 |
| 5 | Nottingham U18 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 50:47 | 42 |
| 6 | Sunderland U18 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 56:44 | 39 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough U18 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 45:45 | 39 |
| 8 | Liverpool U18 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 13 | 70:70 | 35 |
| 9 | Blackburn U18 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 51:68 | 33 |
| 10 | Derby U18 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 44:67 | 32 |
| 11 | Burnley U18 | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 49:68 | 30 |
| 12 | Leeds U18 | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 47:68 | 29 |
| 13 | Wolves U18 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 29:55 | 20 |
| 14 | Stoke City U18 | 26 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 42:69 | 17 |
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea U18 | 28 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 88:24 | 67 |
| 2 | Tottenham U18 | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 70:36 | 54 |
| 3 | Aston Villa U18 | 28 | 17 | 3 | 8 | 82:55 | 54 |
| 4 | Brighton U18 | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 63:41 | 49 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace U18 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 74:52 | 46 |
| 6 | West Brom U18 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 68:50 | 46 |
| 7 | Southampton U18 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 65:61 | 42 |
| 8 | West Ham U18 | 28 | 13 | 2 | 13 | 62:59 | 41 |
| 9 | Leicester U18 | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 46:53 | 36 |
| 10 | Arsenal U18 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 46:57 | 33 |
| 11 | Fulham U18 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 48:65 | 33 |
| 12 | Norwich U18 | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 47:67 | 26 |
| 13 | Reading U18 | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 38:66 | 26 |
| 14 | Birmingham U18 | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 29:88 | 21 |
| 15 | Ipswich U18 | 28 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 41:93 | 20 |
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
