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Liverpool U19 vs FC Porto U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 Liverpool Academy, Liverpool
Wed, Mar 1, 2023
2 - 1
05:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Davies H.
8' Event
Meireles J.
(Penalty)
28'
Gannon-Doak B.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Liverpool U19 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Liverpool U19
6%
Draws
90%
FC Porto U19
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Porto U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Porto U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives FC Porto U19 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • FC Porto U19 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Liverpool U19, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • Liverpool U19 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Liverpool U19 Clean Sheet 10%
FC Porto U19 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liverpool U19 FC Porto U19
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 15 23
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1 2.13
Goals Conceded 2 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2023 UEFA Youth League
Liverpool U19 vs FC Porto U19
2:1
Nov 24, 2021 UEFA Youth League
Liverpool U19 vs FC Porto U19
4:0
Sep 28, 2021 UEFA Youth League
FC Porto U19 vs Liverpool U19
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Liverpool U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Frauendorf M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

FC Porto U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liverpool U19 10 / 100
FC Porto U19 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liverpool U19 FC Porto U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Liverpool U19's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

FC Porto U19 let in goals in 63% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Liverpool U19 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Liverpool U19 VS FC Porto U19
1 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Liverpool U19

(Home)
03 Feb
Zilina U19
2 : 1
Liverpool U19
09 Dec
Inter U19
5 : 0
Liverpool U19
26 Nov
Liverpool U19
1 : 0
PSV U19
04 Nov
Liverpool U19
0 : 4
Real Madrid U19
22 Oct
Eintracht Frankfurt U19
4 : 5
Liverpool U19
Page 1 of 6

FC Porto U19

(Away)
16 May
Sporting CP U19
1 : 3
FC Porto U19
09 May
FC Porto U19
3 : 2
Famalicao U19
02 May
Leiria U19
2 : 1
FC Porto U19
25 Apr
FC Porto U19
3 : 3
Benfica U19
17 Apr
FC Porto U19
3 : 0
Gil Vicente U19
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Sporting CP U19-
TBD-
MTK Budapest U190
Ajax U191
Liverpool U19-
TBD-
Panathinaikos U190
FC Porto U191
Barcelona U19-
TBD-
AZ Alkmaar U195
Eintracht Frankfurt U190
Real Madrid U19-
TBD-
Young Boys U192
Salzburg U193
Hibernian U191
Dortmund U192
TBD-
PSG U19-
Hajduk Split U191
Shakhtar U190
TBD-
Manchester City U19-
AC Milan U19-
TBD-
Rukh Lviv U192
Inter U191
Atl. Madrid U19-
TBD-
Genk U191
Juventus U190
1/8-finals
Sporting CP U195
Ajax U191
Liverpool U192
FC Porto U191
Barcelona U190
AZ Alkmaar U193
Real Madrid U193
Salzburg U191
Dortmund U192
PSG U191
Hajduk Split U192
Manchester City U191
AC Milan U191
Rukh Lviv U190
Atl. Madrid U194
Genk U191
Quarter-finals
Sporting CP U191
Liverpool U190
AZ Alkmaar U194
Real Madrid U190
Dortmund U191
Hajduk Split U192
AC Milan U192
Atl. Madrid U190
Semi-finals
Sporting CP U192
AZ Alkmaar U193
Hajduk Split U193
AC Milan U191
Final
AZ Alkmaar U195
Hajduk Split U190