Sport Picks

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Liverpool U21 vs Arsenal U21

England England

Premier League 2 2025/2026 Liverpool Academy, Liverpool
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Morrison K.
Assist: Wright W.
6' Event
Pilling T.
Assist: Laffey M.
14'
Wright W.

AI Match Summary

Liverpool U21 in this Premier League 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 7-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Liverpool U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Liverpool U21
15%
Draws
49%
Arsenal U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arsenal U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Arsenal U21 haven't matched Liverpool U21's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Arsenal U21's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Liverpool U21 Clean Sheet 13%
Arsenal U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liverpool U21 Arsenal U21
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 2.21 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.96 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Premier League 2
Liverpool U21 vs Arsenal U21
7:0
Sep 27, 2024 Premier League 2
Arsenal U21 vs Liverpool U21
0:3
Apr 28, 2024 Premier League 2
Liverpool U21 vs Arsenal U21
0:2
Mar 6, 2023 Premier League 2
Arsenal U21 vs Liverpool U21
0:1
Oct 1, 2022 Premier League 2
Liverpool U21 vs Arsenal U21
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Liverpool U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Morrison K.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Pilling T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Arsenal U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liverpool U21 27 / 100
Arsenal U21 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liverpool U21 Arsenal U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arsenal U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Liverpool U21 scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Arsenal U21 conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Arsenal U21 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Liverpool U21 VS Arsenal U21
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Liverpool U21

(Home)
01 Aug
Liverpool U21
3 : 4
Cardiff U21
26 Apr
Liverpool U21
3 : 4
Crystal Palace U21
22 Mar
Liverpool U21
1 : 5
Crystal Palace U21
16 Mar
Manchester City U21
2 : 0
Liverpool U21
08 Mar
Liverpool U21
5 : 0
Wolves U21
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Arsenal U21

(Away)
17 Jul
Boreham Wood
1 : 1
Arsenal U21
25 Apr
Manchester City U21
3 : 1
Arsenal U21
13 Apr
Crystal Palace U21
2 : 0
Arsenal U21
04 Apr
Arsenal U21
1 : 0
West Brom U21
23 Mar
Sunderland U21
3 : 1
Arsenal U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelsea U21 20 14 1 5 52:25 43
2 Manchester United U21 20 13 4 3 43:26 43
3 Manchester City U21 20 13 1 6 59:21 40
4 Fulham U21 20 11 5 4 48:32 38
5 Ipswich U21 20 12 2 6 45:45 38
6 Southampton U21 20 10 6 4 36:29 36
7 Liverpool U21 20 11 2 7 49:36 35
8 Tottenham U21 20 11 2 7 42:32 35
9 Leicester U21 20 9 4 7 48:42 31
10 Crystal Palace U21 20 9 4 7 36:31 31
11 Aston Villa U21 20 9 4 7 32:35 31
12 Brighton U21 20 8 6 6 38:25 30
13 West Ham U21 20 8 6 6 44:35 30
14 Arsenal U21 20 8 5 7 28:33 29
15 Sunderland U21 20 8 4 8 41:40 28
16 Middlesbrough U21 20 7 6 7 37:28 27
17 Nottingham U21 20 8 2 10 23:23 26
18 Everton U21 20 7 4 9 33:36 25
19 Reading U21 20 7 4 9 29:36 25
20 Stoke City U21 20 7 4 9 29:42 25
21 Newcastle Utd U21 20 6 6 8 30:35 24
22 Wolves U21 20 6 5 9 30:45 23
23 Norwich U21 20 5 5 10 32:42 20
24 Derby U21 20 5 5 10 26:44 20
25 Leeds U21 20 5 3 12 28:40 18
26 West Brom U21 20 5 3 12 26:41 18
27 Birmingham U21 20 4 5 11 26:52 17
28 Blackburn U21 20 4 2 14 27:46 14
29 Burnley U21 20 3 4 13 22:42 13
Promotion - Premier League 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
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