Sport Picks
Liverpool vs Atl. Madrid Prediction & H2H Stats
Europe
Champions League Anfield, Liverpool 
Match Events
17'
17'
Llorente M.
Assist: Alvarez J.
28'
28'
Mac Allister A.
40'
40'
Szoboszlai D.
Assist: Araujo R.
AI Match Summary
The Champions League game between Liverpool and Atl. Madrid finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Liverpool.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
15%
35%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Liverpool
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Liverpool have managed 1.74 goals a game lately — Atl. Madrid are scoring more at 1.8.
- Model gives Liverpool a 50% chance of winning this.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Champions League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Liverpool here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Liverpool Clean Sheet 14%
Atl. Madrid Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Liverpool | Atl. Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 2 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.74 | 1.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 9, 2026 Champions League
Liverpool vs Atl. Madrid
2:1
Sep 17, 2025 Champions League
Liverpool vs Atl. Madrid
3:2
Nov 3, 2021 Champions League
Liverpool vs Atl. Madrid
2:0
Oct 19, 2021 Champions League
Atl. Madrid vs Liverpool
2:3
Mar 11, 2020 Champions League
Liverpool vs Atl. Madrid
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Liverpool Compare
Top Goalscorer Szoboszlai D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mac Allister A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Atl. Madrid Compare
Top Goalscorer Llorente M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Liverpool 66 / 100
Atl. Madrid 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Liverpool Atl. Madrid
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Liverpool Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Liverpool scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Liverpool remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Atl. Madrid's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Liverpool VS Atl. Madrid
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Liverpool
(Home) 20 Sept
Bournemouth
0 : 1 Liverpool
15 Sept
Liverpool
3 : 1 Tottenham
12 Sept
Liverpool
0 : 0 Fulham
09 Sept
Liverpool
2 : 1 Atl. Madrid
04 Sept
Ipswich
0 : 2 Liverpool
Page 1 of 7
15 Sept
Liverpool
3 : 1 Tottenham
12 Sept
Liverpool
0 : 0 Fulham
09 Sept
Liverpool
2 : 1 Atl. Madrid
29 Aug
Liverpool
2 : 2 Nottingham
16 Aug
Liverpool
2 : 0 Como
Page 1 of 4
Atl. Madrid
(Away) 20 Sept
Atl. Madrid
2 : 1 Real Madrid
16 Sept
Atl. Madrid
4 : 0 Osasuna
13 Sept
Real Sociedad
0 : 3 Atl. Madrid
09 Sept
Liverpool
2 : 1 Atl. Madrid
05 Sept
Ath Bilbao
3 : 0 Atl. Madrid
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Real Sociedad
0 : 3 Atl. Madrid
09 Sept
Liverpool
2 : 1 Atl. Madrid
05 Sept
Ath Bilbao
3 : 0 Atl. Madrid
29 Aug
Sevilla
1 : 3 Atl. Madrid
14 Aug
Marseille
1 : 2 Atl. Madrid
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Barcelona | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Manchester United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Como | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 7 | Sporting CP | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 8 | Manchester City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 10 | Lens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 11 | Betis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 12 | Dortmund | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 13 | Liverpool | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 14 | Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 15 | Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 16 | AEK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 17 | AS Roma | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 18 | Shakhtar | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 19 | PSV | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 20 | Fenerbahce | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 21 | Villarreal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 22 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 23 | Slavia Prague | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 24 | Club Brugge | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 25 | Inter | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 26 | Atl. Madrid | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 27 | Napoli | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 28 | LASK Linz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 29 | Viking | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 30 | Galatasaray | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 31 | FC Porto | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 32 | RB Leipzig | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 33 | Feyenoord | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 34 | Sabah Baku | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 35 | Slovan Bratislava | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 36 | Bodo/Glimt | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | 0 |
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
