Sport Picks
Liverpool vs Atl. Madrid
Europe
Champions League 2025/2026 Anfield, Liverpool 
Match Events
4'
4'
Robertson A.
Assist: Salah M.
6'
6'
Salah M.
Assist: Gravenberch R.
32'
32'
Le Normand R.
AI Match Summary
Liverpool in this Champions League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Liverpool.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Liverpool
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Liverpool at 1.96 per game, Atl. Madrid at 1.86.
- Model gives Liverpool a 46% chance of winning this.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Champions League 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Liverpool Clean Sheet 11%
Atl. Madrid Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Liverpool | Atl. Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.96 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.54 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 17, 2025 Champions League
Liverpool vs Atl. Madrid
3:2
Nov 3, 2021 Champions League
Liverpool vs Atl. Madrid
2:0
Oct 19, 2021 Champions League
Atl. Madrid vs Liverpool
2:3
Mar 11, 2020 Champions League
Liverpool vs Atl. Madrid
2:3
Feb 18, 2020 Champions League
Atl. Madrid vs Liverpool
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Liverpool Compare
Top Goalscorer Robertson A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Salah M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Atl. Madrid Compare
Top Goalscorer Llorente M.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Liverpool 47 / 100
Atl. Madrid 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Liverpool Atl. Madrid
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick LIV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Liverpool's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Atl. Madrid has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Liverpool remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Liverpool VS Atl. Madrid
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Liverpool
(Home) 09 Aug
Liverpool
2 : 3 Monaco
02 Aug
Liverpool
2 : 4 Leeds
29 Jul
Liverpool
1 : 0 Wrexham
25 Jul
Liverpool
4 : 2 Sunderland
24 May
Liverpool
1 : 1 Brentford
Page 1 of 6
09 Aug
Liverpool
2 : 3 Monaco
02 Aug
Liverpool
2 : 4 Leeds
29 Jul
Liverpool
1 : 0 Wrexham
25 Jul
Liverpool
4 : 2 Sunderland
24 May
Liverpool
1 : 1 Brentford
Page 1 of 4
Atl. Madrid
(Away) 09 Aug
Manchester City
3 : 1 Atl. Madrid
01 Aug
Manchester United
2 : 1 Atl. Madrid
29 Jul
Atl. Madrid
4 : 1 Getafe
24 May
Villarreal
5 : 1 Atl. Madrid
17 May
Atl. Madrid
1 : 0 Girona
Page 1 of 6
09 Aug
Manchester City
3 : 1 Atl. Madrid
01 Aug
Manchester United
2 : 1 Atl. Madrid
24 May
Villarreal
5 : 1 Atl. Madrid
12 May
Osasuna
1 : 2 Atl. Madrid
05 May
Arsenal
1 : 0 Atl. Madrid
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 23:4 | 24 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22:8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20:8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | 17 |
| 5 | Barcelona | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22:14 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:11 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:9 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21:12 | 15 |
| 10 | Inter | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:7 | 15 |
| 11 | PSG | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21:11 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle Utd | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:7 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:10 | 13 |
| 14 | Atl. Madrid | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:14 | 12 |
| 17 | Dortmund | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19:17 | 11 |
| 18 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:14 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:17 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 21 | Monaco | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:14 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:21 | 10 |
| 23 | Bodo/Glimt | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 24 | Benfica | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:12 | 9 |
| 25 | Marseille | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 26 | Pafos | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union SG | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 8 |
| 29 | Ath Bilbao | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 30 | Napoli | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | 8 |
| 31 | FC Copenhagen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:21 | 8 |
| 32 | Ajax | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:21 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10:21 | 4 |
| 34 | Slavia Prague | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5:19 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:18 | 1 |
| 36 | Kairat Almaty | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7:22 | 1 |
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
