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Liverpool vs Brentford Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

Premier League 2025/2026 Anfield, Liverpool
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Jones C.
Assist: Salah M.
60'
Sub
Henderson J. In: Hickey A.
Out: Henderson J.
64' Event
Schade K.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Liverpool and Brentford finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Liverpool
35%
Draws
27%
Brentford
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Liverpool

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

27% / Low Confidence
  • Brentford's 1.9 goals per match outpaces what Liverpool have produced (1.7).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Liverpool Clean Sheet 10%
Brentford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liverpool Brentford
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 7 11
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.7 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Premier League
Liverpool vs Brentford
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 Premier League
Brentford vs Liverpool
3:2
Jan 18, 2025 Premier League
Brentford vs Liverpool
0:2
Aug 25, 2024 Premier League
Liverpool vs Brentford
2:0
Feb 17, 2024 Premier League
Brentford vs Liverpool
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Liverpool Compare

Top Goalscorer Jones C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Brentford Compare

Top Goalscorer Schade K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liverpool 34 / 100
Brentford 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liverpool Brentford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brentford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Liverpool's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Liverpool has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Brentford's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Liverpool VS Brentford
1.75 Goals Scored 3.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Liverpool

(Home)
20 Sept
Bournemouth
0 : 1
Liverpool
15 Sept
Liverpool
3 : 1
Tottenham
12 Sept
Liverpool
0 : 0
Fulham
09 Sept
Liverpool
2 : 1
Atl. Madrid
04 Sept
Ipswich
0 : 2
Liverpool
Page 1 of 6

Brentford

(Away)
18 Sept
Brentford
3 : 0
Chelsea
15 Sept
Reading
1 : 2
Brentford
12 Sept
Bournemouth
2 : 2
Brentford
05 Sept
Brentford
1 : 1
Sunderland
30 Aug
Leeds
1 : 1
Brentford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arsenal 38 26 7 5 71:27 85
2 Manchester City 38 23 9 6 77:35 78
3 Manchester United 38 20 11 7 69:50 71
4 Aston Villa 38 19 8 11 56:49 65
5 Liverpool 38 17 9 12 63:53 60
6 Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 58:54 57
7 Sunderland 38 14 12 12 42:48 54
8 Brighton 38 14 11 13 52:46 53
9 Brentford 38 14 11 13 55:52 53
10 Chelsea 38 14 10 14 58:52 52
11 Fulham 38 15 7 16 47:51 52
12 Newcastle Utd 38 14 7 17 53:55 49
13 Everton 38 13 10 15 47:50 49
14 Leeds 38 11 14 13 49:56 47
15 Crystal Palace 38 11 12 15 41:51 45
16 Nottingham 38 11 11 16 48:51 44
17 Tottenham 38 10 11 17 48:57 41
18 West Ham 38 10 9 19 46:65 39
19 Burnley 38 4 10 24 38:75 22
20 Wolves 38 3 11 24 27:68 20
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship (Main)