Sport Picks
Liverpool vs Crystal Palace
England
EFL Cup 2025/2026 Anfield, Liverpool 
Match Events
41'
41'
Sarr I.
45'
45'
Sarr I.
Assist: Pino Y.
45'
45'
Kamada D.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-3, with Crystal Palace advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crystal Palace
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Crystal Palace have managed 1.45 goals a game lately — Liverpool are scoring more at 2.
- Win probability leans Liverpool's way, sitting at 50%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Crystal Palace, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Liverpool Clean Sheet 17%
Crystal Palace Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Liverpool | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 14 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 Premier League
Liverpool vs Crystal Palace
3:1
Oct 29, 2025 EFL Cup
Liverpool vs Crystal Palace
0:3
Sep 27, 2025 Premier League
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool
2:1
Aug 10, 2025 FA Community Shield
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool
3:2
May 25, 2025 Premier League
Liverpool vs Crystal Palace
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Liverpool Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Crystal Palace Compare
Top Goalscorer Sarr I.
2 Goals Assists Leader Pino Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Liverpool 48 / 100
Crystal Palace 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Liverpool Crystal Palace
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick LIV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Liverpool scored in 86% of their last 28 games.
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Crystal Palace has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Recent resilience: Liverpool stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Liverpool VS Crystal Palace
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Liverpool
(Home) 02 Aug
Liverpool
2 : 4 Leeds
29 Jul
Liverpool
1 : 0 Wrexham
25 Jul
Liverpool
4 : 2 Sunderland
24 May
Liverpool
1 : 1 Brentford
15 May
Aston Villa
4 : 2 Liverpool
Page 1 of 6
02 Aug
Liverpool
2 : 4 Leeds
29 Jul
Liverpool
1 : 0 Wrexham
25 Jul
Liverpool
4 : 2 Sunderland
24 May
Liverpool
1 : 1 Brentford
09 May
Liverpool
1 : 1 Chelsea
Page 1 of 3
Crystal Palace
(Away) 07 Aug
Fulham
1 : 2 Crystal Palace
31 Jul
Crystal Palace
3 : 1 Al-Ula
28 Jul
Famalicao
0 : 1 Crystal Palace
28 Jul
Crystal Palace
0 : 3 Lens
25 Jul
Bromley
3 : 0 Crystal Palace
Page 1 of 6
07 Aug
Fulham
1 : 2 Crystal Palace
28 Jul
Famalicao
0 : 1 Crystal Palace
25 Jul
Bromley
3 : 0 Crystal Palace
17 May
Brentford
2 : 2 Crystal Palace
13 May
Manchester City
3 : 0 Crystal Palace
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Barrow 0
Preston 1
Wrexham 4
Hull City 3
Portsmouth 1
Reading 2
Gillingham 1
AFC Wimbledon 2
Burnley -
TBD -
West Brom 1
Derby 2
Cardiff 2
Swindon 1
Cheltenham 2
Exeter 0
Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
West Ham -
Everton -
TBD -
Chesterfield 0
Mansfield 2
Tranmere 1
Burton 2
Harrogate 1
Lincoln City 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 2
Sheffield Utd 1
Blackpool 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 3
Fleetwood Town 2
Salford 0
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 1
Colchester 0
TBD -
Brighton -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford 1
Norwich 2
Northampton 0
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newport 0
Millwall 1
Coventry 1
Luton 0
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Walsall 0
Blackburn 1
Bradford City 2
Tottenham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Accrington 2
Peterborough 1
Middlesbrough 0
Doncaster 4
Wigan 1
Notts County 0
Stockport County 3
Crewe 1
Bromley 2
Ipswich 1
Leyton Orient 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham -
TBD -
Bristol City 2
Milton Keynes Dons 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Charlton 3
Stevenage 1
Swansea 3
Crawley Town 1
Plymouth 3
QPR 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland -
TBD -
Huddersfield 3
Leicester 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Manchester City -
Bolton 3
Sheffield Wed 4
TBD -
Leeds -
Grimsby 3
Shrewsbury 1
TBD -
Manchester United -
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Preston 2
Wrexham 3
Reading 2
AFC Wimbledon 1
Burnley 2
Derby 1
Cardiff 3
Cheltenham 0
Wolves 3
West Ham 2
Everton 2
Mansfield 0
Burton 0
Lincoln City 1
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 2
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Norwich 0
Southampton 3
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Millwall 2
Coventry 1
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Stoke City 0
Bradford City 3
Tottenham -
TBD -
Accrington 0
Doncaster 2
Wigan 1
Stockport County 0
Bromley 1
Wycombe 2
Fulham 2
Bristol City 0
Cambridge Utd 3
Charlton 1
Swansea 2
Plymouth 1
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland 1
Huddersfield 2
TBD -
Manchester City -
Sheffield Wed 2
Leeds 1
Grimsby 3
Manchester United 2
Bournemouth 0
Brentford 2
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Wrexham 2
Reading 0
Burnley 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 2
Everton 0
Lincoln City 1
Chelsea 2
Port Vale 0
Arsenal 2
Barnsley 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool 2
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace 2
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 4
Bradford City 1
Tottenham 3
Doncaster 0
Wigan 0
Wycombe 2
Fulham 1
Cambridge Utd 0
Swansea 3
Nottingham 2
Huddersfield 0
Manchester City 2
Sheffield Wed 0
Grimsby 1
Brentford 2
Aston Villa 1
1/8-finals
Wrexham 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 3
Chelsea 4
Arsenal 2
Brighton 0
Liverpool 0
Crystal Palace 3
Newcastle Utd 2
Tottenham 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham 2
Swansea 1
Manchester City 3
Grimsby 0
Brentford 5
Quarter-finals
Cardiff 1
Chelsea 3
Arsenal 2
Crystal Palace 1
Newcastle Utd 2
Fulham 1
Manchester City 2
Brentford 0
Semi-finals
Chelsea 2
Arsenal 4
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 5
Final
Arsenal 0
Manchester City 2
