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Liverpool vs Nottingham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League Anfield, Liverpool
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Ndoye D.
Assist: Gibbs-White M.
32'
Wirtz F.
44'
Igor Jesus

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Liverpool
15%
Draws
8%
Nottingham
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Liverpool

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Nottingham haven't matched Liverpool's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Liverpool's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Liverpool Clean Sheet 20%
Nottingham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liverpool Nottingham
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.8 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.77 1.03
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Premier League
Liverpool vs Nottingham
2:2
Feb 22, 2026 Premier League
Nottingham vs Liverpool
0:1
Nov 22, 2025 Premier League
Liverpool vs Nottingham
0:3
Jan 14, 2025 Premier League
Nottingham vs Liverpool
1:1
Sep 14, 2024 Premier League
Liverpool vs Nottingham
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Liverpool Compare

Top Goalscorer Isak A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Munoz V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.89

Nottingham Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndoye D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.94
Avg xA / game 0.57

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liverpool 85 / 100
Nottingham 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liverpool Nottingham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Liverpool Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Liverpool scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Nottingham conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Liverpool went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Liverpool VS Nottingham
2.25 Goals Scored 0.57
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.29
75% Over 1.5 57%
75% Over 2.5 29%
38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Liverpool

(Home)
04 Nov
Fenerbahce
3 : 2
Liverpool
01 Nov
Liverpool
0 : 1
Arsenal
28 Oct
Liverpool
2 : 1
Chelsea
25 Oct
Liverpool
2 : 0
Brighton
20 Oct
Liverpool
4 : 3
Villarreal
Page 1 of 6

Nottingham

(Away)
31 Oct
Brentford
2 : 0
Nottingham
23 Oct
Ipswich
1 : 1
Nottingham
18 Oct
Nottingham
0 : 1
Arsenal
11 Oct
Crystal Palace
3 : 1
Nottingham
19 Sept
Nottingham
0 : 1
Coventry
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arsenal 9 8 0 1 14:5 24
2 Manchester City 9 7 0 2 20:10 21
3 Brighton 9 6 1 2 24:7 19
4 Chelsea 9 5 1 3 19:15 16
5 Liverpool 9 4 3 2 11:9 15
6 Brentford 9 3 5 1 16:9 14
7 Everton 9 3 4 2 9:9 13
8 Bournemouth 9 3 3 3 14:13 12
9 Tottenham 9 3 3 3 10:10 12
10 Aston Villa 9 3 3 3 10:13 12
11 Hull City 9 2 5 2 11:10 11
12 Leeds 9 2 5 2 9:8 11
13 Newcastle Utd 9 3 2 4 12:15 11
14 Ipswich 9 3 2 4 14:18 11
15 Fulham 9 2 3 4 9:11 9
16 Coventry 9 3 0 6 9:16 9
17 Manchester United 9 1 4 4 10:15 7
18 Crystal Palace 9 2 1 6 9:21 7
19 Nottingham 9 1 3 5 6:12 6
20 Sunderland 9 1 2 6 7:17 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)