Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Liverpool W vs Aston Villa W

England England

WSL St Helens Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Enderby M.
Assist: Holland C.
14' Event
Thomas M.
39'
Parker L.

AI Match Summary

Liverpool W in this WSL matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Liverpool W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Liverpool W
28%
Draws
22%
Aston Villa W
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Liverpool W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Liverpool W have won more games recently than Aston Villa W.
  • Liverpool W are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Liverpool W Clean Sheet 68%
Aston Villa W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liverpool W Aston Villa W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 WSL
Liverpool W vs Aston Villa W
4:1
Dec 11, 2025 WSL
Aston Villa W vs Liverpool W
3:0
Aug 9, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Aston Villa W vs Liverpool W
5:1
Mar 30, 2025 WSL
Liverpool W vs Aston Villa W
1:2
Nov 3, 2024 WSL
Aston Villa W vs Liverpool W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Liverpool W Compare

Top Goalscorer Enderby M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thomas M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Aston Villa W Compare

Top Goalscorer Taylor M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liverpool W 59 / 100
Aston Villa W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liverpool W Aston Villa W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Liverpool W found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Aston Villa W has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Aston Villa W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Liverpool W VS Aston Villa W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Manchester City W22181362:1955
2Arsenal W22156153:1451
3Chelsea W22154344:2049
4Manchester United W22117438:2240
5Tottenham W22113835:3836
6London City Lionesses W22831128:3527
7Brighton W22751027:2826
8Everton W22721325:3723
9Aston Villa W22551228:4820
10West Ham W22541320:4519
11Liverpool W22451321:3417
12Leicester W22231711:529