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Liverpool W vs Manchester United W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Women's League Cup St Helens Stadium, St Helens
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Women's League Cup. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Liverpool W have averaged 2.19 scored and 1.44 conceded recently, against Manchester United W's 1.85 scored and 1.18 conceded. Past meetings favor Manchester United W slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 3, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 2.50 vs 1.81, favoring Liverpool W. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Liverpool W
15%
Draws
50%
Manchester United W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manchester United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Manchester United W haven't matched Liverpool W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Manchester United W a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Liverpool W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Manchester United W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Liverpool W Clean Sheet 11%
Manchester United W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liverpool W Manchester United W
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 18 16
Draws 4 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2.19 1.85
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 WSL
Manchester United W vs Liverpool W
1:0
Aug 23, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Manchester United W vs Liverpool W
1:2
Feb 1, 2026 WSL
Manchester United W vs Liverpool W
3:1
Sep 28, 2025 WSL
Liverpool W vs Manchester United W
0:2
Aug 20, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Manchester United W vs Liverpool W
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liverpool W 10 / 100
Manchester United W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liverpool W Manchester United W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manchester United W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Liverpool W's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Manchester United W conceded in 73% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Liverpool W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Liverpool W VS Manchester United W
3.25 Goals Scored 2.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Liverpool W

(Home)
03 Oct
Manchester United W
1 : 0
Liverpool W
30 Sept
Birmingham W
3 : 4
Liverpool W
27 Sept
Liverpool W
2 : 0
Everton W
23 Sept
Liverpool W
4 : 2
Sunderland W
18 Sept
Manchester City W
4 : 2
Liverpool W
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Manchester United W

(Away)
03 Oct
Manchester United W
1 : 0
Liverpool W
30 Sept
Durham W
1 : 5
Manchester United W
27 Sept
Manchester United W
2 : 1
West Ham W
23 Sept
Manchester United W
10 : 1
Sheffield Utd W
19 Sept
Arsenal W
1 : 1
Manchester United W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester United W 2 2 0 0 15:2 6
2 Aston Villa W 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
3 Crystal Palace W 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
4 Liverpool W 2 2 0 0 8:5 6
5 London City Lionesses W 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
6 West Ham W 2 2 0 0 3:1 5
7 Tottenham W 2 1 0 1 1:0 4
8 Brighton W 2 1 0 1 4:1 3
9 Everton W 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
10 Bristol City W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Burnley W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Wolverhampton W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Watford W 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
14 Ipswich W 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Sunderland W 1 0 0 1 2:4 0
16 Newcastle Utd W 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
17 Southampton FC W 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
18 Nottingham W 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
19 Leicester W 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
20 Birmingham W 2 0 0 2 3:6 0
21 Durham W 1 0 0 1 1:5 0
22 Charlton W 2 0 0 2 0:7 0
23 Sheffield Utd W 1 0 0 1 1:10 0
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