Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Livingston vs Ayr

Scotland Scotland

Championship The Home of the Set Fare Arena, Livingston
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Livingston host Ayr in the Championship. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Ayr have shipped 1.31 goals a game lately, while Livingston have conceded 1.31 and scored 1.52. Past meetings favor Livingston slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2025, ending 5:0. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.13) point toward Livingston. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Livingston
20%
Draws
29%
Ayr
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Livingston

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Livingston haven't matched Ayr's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Livingston's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Livingston have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Livingston Clean Sheet 20%
Ayr Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Livingston Ayr
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.52 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2025 Championship
Livingston vs Ayr
5:0
Feb 22, 2025 Championship
Ayr vs Livingston
1:2
Dec 21, 2024 Championship
Livingston vs Ayr
0:1
Oct 19, 2024 Championship
Ayr vs Livingston
1:2
Aug 19, 2023 League Cup
Livingston vs Ayr
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Livingston 76 / 100
Ayr 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Livingston Ayr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Livingston Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Livingston scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Ayr conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Livingston stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Livingston VS Ayr
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Livingston

(Home)
19 Sept
Livingston
2 : 2
Inverness
11 Sept
Morton
1 : 4
Livingston
04 Sept
Livingston
0 : 1
Stenhousemuir
29 Aug
Arbroath
1 : 0
Livingston
22 Aug
Livingston
2 : 0
Dunfermline
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Ayr

(Away)
18 Sept
Queen's Park
0 : 2
Ayr
12 Sept
Ayr
1 : 3
Inverness
05 Sept
Partick
1 : 0
Ayr
29 Aug
Ayr
1 : 1
Morton
22 Aug
Raith
2 : 0
Ayr
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 7 6 1 0 11:2 19
2 Raith 7 4 2 1 11:3 14
3 Partick 7 3 3 1 5:2 12
4 Dunfermline 7 3 3 1 6:4 12
5 Livingston 7 3 1 3 10:7 10
6 Ayr 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
7 Arbroath 7 2 2 3 4:9 8
8 Inverness 7 1 4 2 7:9 7
9 Queen's Park 7 1 1 5 3:11 4
10 Morton 7 0 1 6 4:13 1
Promotion - Premiership 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)