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Stadium Background

Livingston vs Ayr - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Championship The Home of the Set Fare Arena, Livingston
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Stirton O.
Assist: Taylor R.
11'
Palmer C.
19' Event
Muirhead R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Ayr in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ayr.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Livingston
15%
Draws
39%
Ayr
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Livingston

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Livingston haven't matched Ayr's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Livingston's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Livingston Clean Sheet 20%
Ayr Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Livingston Ayr
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.59 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Championship
Livingston vs Ayr
1:2
Apr 18, 2025 Championship
Livingston vs Ayr
5:0
Feb 22, 2025 Championship
Ayr vs Livingston
1:2
Dec 21, 2024 Championship
Livingston vs Ayr
0:1
Oct 19, 2024 Championship
Ayr vs Livingston
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Livingston Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Ayr Compare

Top Goalscorer Stirton O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McBeth L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Livingston 58 / 100
Ayr 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Livingston Ayr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Livingston Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Livingston's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ayr has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Livingston remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Livingston VS Ayr
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Livingston

(Home)
03 Oct
Livingston
1 : 2
Ayr
25 Sept
Raith
0 : 2
Livingston
19 Sept
Livingston
2 : 2
Inverness
11 Sept
Morton
1 : 4
Livingston
04 Sept
Livingston
0 : 1
Stenhousemuir
Page 1 of 6

Ayr

(Away)
03 Oct
Livingston
1 : 2
Ayr
25 Sept
Ayr
0 : 1
Stenhousemuir
18 Sept
Queen's Park
0 : 2
Ayr
12 Sept
Ayr
1 : 3
Inverness
05 Sept
Partick
1 : 0
Ayr
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 8 7 1 0 12:2 22
2 Raith 9 5 2 2 13:6 17
3 Partick 8 4 3 1 8:2 15
4 Livingston 9 4 1 4 13:9 13
5 Dunfermline 7 3 3 1 6:4 12
6 Ayr 9 3 2 4 9:10 11
7 Arbroath 9 3 2 4 6:13 11
8 Inverness 8 2 4 2 9:9 10
9 Queen's Park 8 1 1 6 4:13 4
10 Morton 9 0 1 8 5:17 1
Promotion - Premiership 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)