Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Livingston vs Dunfermline

Scotland Scotland

Championship The Home of the Set Fare Arena, Livingston
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Livingston host Dunfermline in the Championship. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Livingston at 1.45 goals for, 1.55 against; Dunfermline at 1.59 for, 1 against. Head-to-head, Livingston have won 2 to Dunfermline's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 2, 2025, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.75 - 1.50) back Dunfermline to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Livingston
15%
Draws
45%
Dunfermline
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dunfermline

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dunfermline come out ahead of Livingston on wins alone.
  • Livingston are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Livingston Clean Sheet 16%
Dunfermline Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Livingston Dunfermline
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 14
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.45 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.55 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2025 Championship
Dunfermline vs Livingston
1:0
Feb 15, 2025 Championship
Livingston vs Dunfermline
0:0
Feb 5, 2025 Challenge Cup
Dunfermline vs Livingston
0:2
Oct 29, 2024 Championship
Dunfermline vs Livingston
3:0
Aug 3, 2024 Championship
Livingston vs Dunfermline
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Livingston 57 / 100
Dunfermline 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Livingston Dunfermline

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Livingston scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Livingston stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Dunfermline's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Livingston VS Dunfermline
2.38 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Livingston

(Home)
01 Aug
Livingston
2 : 0
Queen's Park
25 Jul
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0
Livingston
21 Jul
Livingston
8 : 0
Forfar Athletic
18 Jul
Livingston
1 : 2
Partick
14 Jul
Brechin
0 : 2
Livingston
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Dunfermline

(Away)
01 Aug
Inverness
0 : 0
Dunfermline
26 Jul
St. Mirren
0 : 1
Dunfermline
21 Jul
Dunfermline
5 : 0
Cove Rangers
14 Jul
Dunfermline
4 : 1
Dumbarton
11 Jul
East Kilbride
3 : 0
Dunfermline
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Livingston 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Ayr 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Partick 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 Raith 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
5 Stenhousemuir 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
6 Inverness 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
7 Dunfermline 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
8 Morton 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
9 Queen's Park 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
10 Arbroath 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Premiership 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)