Sport Picks
Livingston vs Inverness Prediction & H2H Stats
Scotland
Championship The Home of the Set Fare Arena, Livingston 
Match Events
24'
24'
Kabongolo B.
Assist: Sinclair T.
54'
54'
Sub
Sole L. In: Stewart L.
Out: Sole L.
58'
58'
Stewart A.
Assist: Allan P.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Livingston haven't matched Inverness's recent run of results.
- Livingston are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Livingston Clean Sheet 68%
Inverness Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Livingston | Inverness |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Championship
Livingston vs Inverness
2:2
Oct 12, 2024 Challenge Cup
Livingston vs Inverness
3:2
Feb 11, 2023 Scottish Cup
Livingston vs Inverness
0:3
Jul 12, 2022 League Cup
Livingston vs Inverness
1:2
Feb 8, 2020 Scottish Cup
Inverness vs Livingston
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Livingston Compare
Top Goalscorer Kabongolo B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Muirhead R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Inverness Compare
Top Goalscorer Stewart A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bavidge A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Livingston 77 / 100
Inverness 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Livingston Inverness
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Livingston Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Livingston scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Inverness conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
Solid form: Livingston remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Livingston VS Inverness
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Livingston
(Home) 03 Oct
Livingston
1 : 2 Ayr
25 Sept
Raith
0 : 2 Livingston
19 Sept
Livingston
2 : 2 Inverness
11 Sept
Morton
1 : 4 Livingston
04 Sept
Livingston
0 : 1 Stenhousemuir
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03 Oct
Livingston
1 : 2 Ayr
19 Sept
Livingston
2 : 2 Inverness
04 Sept
Livingston
0 : 1 Stenhousemuir
22 Aug
Livingston
2 : 0 Dunfermline
01 Aug
Livingston
2 : 0 Queen's Park
Page 1 of 3
Inverness
(Away) 25 Sept
Inverness
2 : 0 Morton
19 Sept
Livingston
2 : 2 Inverness
12 Sept
Ayr
1 : 3 Inverness
05 Sept
Inverness
0 : 2 Raith
29 Aug
Stenhousemuir
3 : 1 Inverness
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Livingston
2 : 2 Inverness
12 Sept
Ayr
1 : 3 Inverness
29 Aug
Stenhousemuir
3 : 1 Inverness
16 Aug
Hearts
6 : 2 Inverness
08 Aug
Arbroath
0 : 0 Inverness
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stenhousemuir | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 12:2 | 22 |
| 2 | Raith | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:6 | 17 |
| 3 | Partick | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8:2 | 15 |
| 4 | Livingston | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13:9 | 13 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:4 | 12 |
| 6 | Ayr | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 7 | Arbroath | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6:13 | 11 |
| 8 | Inverness | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 10 |
| 9 | Queen's Park | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4:13 | 4 |
| 10 | Morton | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5:17 | 1 |
Promotion - Premiership 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
