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Livingston vs Stenhousemuir - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Championship The Home of the Set Fare Arena, Livingston
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Shinnie A.
Assist: Anderson M.
38'
Danso E.
42'
Culbert S.

AI Match Summary

The Championship game between Livingston and Stenhousemuir finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stenhousemuir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Livingston
15%
Draws
54%
Stenhousemuir
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stenhousemuir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Stenhousemuir carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Livingston's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Livingston Clean Sheet 20%
Stenhousemuir Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Livingston Stenhousemuir
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 21
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.59 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Championship
Livingston vs Stenhousemuir
0:1
Jul 25, 2026 League Cup
Stenhousemuir vs Livingston
1:0
Jan 21, 2023 Scottish Cup
Stenhousemuir vs Livingston
1:3
Nov 10, 2020 League Cup
Stenhousemuir vs Livingston
0:4
Apr 15, 2017 League One
Stenhousemuir vs Livingston
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Livingston Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Stenhousemuir Compare

Top Goalscorer Shinnie A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Livingston 40 / 100
Stenhousemuir 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Livingston Stenhousemuir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Livingston Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Livingston found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Livingston remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Stenhousemuir has conceded goals in 45% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Livingston VS Stenhousemuir
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Livingston

(Home)
03 Oct
Livingston
1 : 2
Ayr
25 Sept
Raith
0 : 2
Livingston
19 Sept
Livingston
2 : 2
Inverness
11 Sept
Morton
1 : 4
Livingston
04 Sept
Livingston
0 : 1
Stenhousemuir
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Stenhousemuir

(Away)
25 Sept
Ayr
0 : 1
Stenhousemuir
19 Sept
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0
Arbroath
15 Sept
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0
Partick
11 Sept
Stenhousemuir
0 : 3
Hearts
04 Sept
Livingston
0 : 1
Stenhousemuir
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 8 7 1 0 12:2 22
2 Raith 9 5 2 2 13:6 17
3 Partick 8 4 3 1 8:2 15
4 Livingston 9 4 1 4 13:9 13
5 Dunfermline 7 3 3 1 6:4 12
6 Ayr 9 3 2 4 9:10 11
7 Arbroath 9 3 2 4 6:13 11
8 Inverness 8 2 4 2 9:9 10
9 Queen's Park 8 1 1 6 4:13 4
10 Morton 9 0 1 8 5:17 1
Promotion - Premiership 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)