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Livingston W vs Motherwell W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

SWPL Cup Women
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Boyce C.
Assist: Thomson K.
15' Event
Boyce C.
18' Event
Boyce C.
Assist: Blyth-Clark M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-7. The second leg ended 1-7.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Livingston W
15%
Draws
42%
Motherwell W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Livingston W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Motherwell W come out ahead of Livingston W on wins alone.
  • Motherwell W are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Motherwell W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Motherwell W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 95%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 95%
Over 3.5 Goals 79%
Over 4.5 Goals 36%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Livingston W Clean Sheet 10%
Motherwell W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Livingston W Motherwell W
Matches Played 13 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 0 2
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 2.15 1.63
Goals Conceded 3.77 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 SWPL Cup Women
Livingston W vs Motherwell W
1:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Livingston W Compare

Top Goalscorer Moran E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Motherwell W Compare

Top Goalscorer Boyce C.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Rutherford S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Livingston W 22 / 100
Motherwell W 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Livingston W Motherwell W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Motherwell W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Motherwell W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 8.00 goals per match.

Livingston W found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (13 games).

Motherwell W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Livingston W VS Motherwell W
2 Goals Scored 2.13
3.5 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
83% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Livingston W

(Home)
13 Sept
Livingston W
0 : 8
Glasgow City W
26 Aug
Livingston W
3 : 1
Queen's Park W
09 Aug
Livingston W
5 : 0
Falkirk FCF W
05 Aug
Hamilton W
3 : 0
Livingston W
02 Aug
Livingston W
1 : 7
Motherwell W
Page 1 of 3

Motherwell W

(Away)
04 Oct
Motherwell W
1 : 0
Aberdeen W
27 Sept
Motherwell W
0 : 2
Spartans W
18 Sept
Celtic W
1 : 0
Motherwell W
13 Sept
Motherwell W
2 : 0
Hamilton W
06 Sept
Motherwell W
0 : 3
Rangers W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montrose W 4 4 0 0 25:3 12
2 Motherwell W 4 3 0 1 13:7 9
3 Spartans W 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
4 Hamilton W 4 3 0 1 13:10 9
5 Kilmarnock W 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
6 Boroughmuir W 4 2 0 2 5:5 6
7 Livingston W 4 2 0 2 9:12 6
8 Gartcairn W 4 2 0 2 9:7 6
9 Dundee Utd W 4 2 0 2 7:6 5
10 Queen's Park W 4 1 0 3 7:9 4
11 Renfrew W 4 1 0 3 2:16 3
12 St Johnstone W 4 1 0 3 9:16 3
13 Aberdeen W 4 1 0 3 5:8 3
14 Falkirk FCF W 4 0 0 4 2:17 0
Promotion - SWPL Cup Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - SWPL Cup Women (Play Offs)