Sport Picks

Italy

Primavera - Group A 2011/2012

Parma U20

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Livorno U20 play Parma U20 in the Primavera - Group A 2011/2012. It looks like a close match. Recently, Livorno U20 averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. Parma U20 averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Livorno U20 won 2, Parma U20 won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 30, 2013 ended 5:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Livorno U20 and 0.99 for Parma U20. This points to a Parma U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Livorno U20

17%

Draws

51%

Parma U20

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Parma U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

Livorno U20 picked up more points recently compared to Parma U20.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 0.99 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 70%

Over 2.5 Goals 51%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%

Livorno U20 Clean Sheet 23%

Parma U20 Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 63%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Livorno U20	Parma U20
Matches Played	30	40
Wins	8	21
Draws	8	9
Losses	14	10
Goals Scored	1.3	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.93	1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2013 Primavera - Group A

Parma U20 vs Livorno U20

Possession: 56% - 44% Cards: 3 - 2

5:3

Nov 10, 2012 Primavera - Group A

Livorno U20 vs Parma U20

Possession: 46% - 41% Cards: 3 - 1

3:1

Mar 24, 2012 Primavera - Group A

Parma U20 vs Livorno U20

Possession: 43% - 50% Cards: 3 - 0

1:0

Nov 12, 2011 Primavera - Group A

Livorno U20 vs Parma U20

Possession: 51% - 46% Cards: 2 - 4

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Livorno U20 33 / 100

Parma U20 49 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Livorno U20 Parma U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Parma U20 or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +33.4%

4.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.2%

2.22

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Livorno U20 attacking → ← attacking Parma U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Livorno U20 scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Parma U20 let in goals in 55% of their last 40 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Livorno U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Parma U20 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 72

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Juventus U20	26	17	4	5	67:31	55
2	Torino U20	26	14	7	5	38:23	49
3	Fiorentina U20	26	13	9	4	45:23	48
4	Genoa U20	26	11	10	5	39:29	43
5	Sampdoria U20	26	11	8	7	44:34	41
6	Livorno U20	26	11	7	8	46:42	40
7	Empoli U20	26	12	4	10	35:39	40
8	Novara U20	26	8	11	7	44:35	35
9	Parma U20	26	9	6	11	40:45	33
10	Cagliari U20	26	7	8	11	33:46	29
11	Sassuolo U20	26	6	10	10	36:43	28
12	Siena U20	26	4	10	12	34:38	22
13	Modena U20	26	4	7	15	21:45	19
14	Grosseto U20	26	3	3	20	18:67	12