Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 Stadio Armando Picchi

Figline

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Livorno play Figline in the Serie D - Group E 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Livorno averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.51 conceded. Figline averaged 0.84 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Livorno won 1, Figline won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 4, 2025 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Livorno and 1.25 for Figline. This points to a Livorno double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Livorno

26%

Draws

31%

Figline

Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Livorno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Livorno picked up more points recently compared to Figline.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 71%

Over 2.5 Goals 54%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%

Livorno Clean Sheet 19%

Figline Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 64%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Livorno	Figline
Matches Played	35	31
Wins	13	7
Draws	9	8
Losses	13	16
Goals Scored	1.43	0.84
Goals Conceded	1.51	1.1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Serie D - Group E

Figline vs Livorno

Possession: 51% - 54% Cards: 4 - 1

4:1

Dec 22, 2024 Serie D - Group E

Livorno vs Figline

Possession: 57% - 41% Cards: 2 - 2

3:1

Apr 14, 2024 Serie D - Group E

Figline vs Livorno

Possession: 50% - 54% Cards: 4 - 2

2:1

Dec 3, 2023 Serie D - Group E

Livorno vs Figline

Possession: 51% - 45% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Livorno Compare

Top Goalscorer Marinari J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Rossetti S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Figline Compare

Top Goalscorer Milli L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Livorno 43 / 100

Figline 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Livorno Figline

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Livorno or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23%

2.86

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.3%

2.08

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Livorno attacking → ← attacking Figline

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Livorno scored in 77% of their last 35 games.

Figline let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Livorno went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Figline lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 29

1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Livorno	34	21	9	4	74:44	72
2	Fulgens Foligno	34	17	9	8	61:44	60
3	Seravezza Pozzi	34	16	11	7	53:39	59
4	Ghiviborgo	34	17	4	13	65:57	55
5	Orvietana	34	15	8	11	44:41	53
6	Siena	34	14	10	10	35:32	52
7	Grosseto	34	13	11	10	39:34	50
8	Ostiamare	34	12	9	13	49:53	45
9	Poggibonsi	34	12	7	15	32:36	43
10	San Donato Tavarnelle	34	11	10	13	26:26	43
11	Montevarchi	34	9	14	11	36:39	41
12	Flaminia	34	10	10	14	42:43	40
13	Follonica Gavorrano	34	10	10	14	40:45	40
14	Terranuova Traiana	34	8	15	11	34:47	39
15	Figline	34	9	11	14	29:33	38
16	Sporting Trestina	34	9	11	14	35:45	38
17	Sangiovannese	34	9	9	16	30:38	36
18	Fezzanese	34	6	8	20	35:63	26