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Livorno vs Grosseto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Stadio Armando Picchi, Livorno
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Livorno host Grosseto in the Serie C - Group B. This one's hard to separate. Grosseto have shipped 1.07 goals a game lately, while Livorno have conceded 1.14 and scored 1.32. Head-to-head, Livorno have won 1 to Grosseto's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Jan 26, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.38, favoring Livorno. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Livorno
30%
Draws
37%
Grosseto
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Grosseto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Livorno have won more games recently than Grosseto.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Livorno Clean Sheet 17%
Grosseto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Livorno Grosseto
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 13 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.32 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Grosseto vs Livorno
0:0
Sep 29, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Livorno vs Grosseto
5:2
May 12, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Grosseto vs Livorno
3:2
Jan 14, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Grosseto vs Livorno
1:1
Sep 17, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Livorno vs Grosseto
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Livorno 36 / 100
Grosseto 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Livorno Grosseto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grosseto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Livorno scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Grosseto let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

Livorno has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Livorno VS Grosseto
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Livorno

(Home)
03 Oct
Livorno
0 : 1
Pescara
26 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2
Pianese
21 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 1
Livorno
16 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2
Vado
12 Sept
Spezia
2 : 0
Livorno
Page 1 of 6

Grosseto

(Away)
03 Oct
Grosseto
1 : 3
Sambenedettese
26 Sept
Pineto
0 : 4
Grosseto
20 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0
Perugia
16 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 2
Campobasso
12 Sept
Pianese
0 : 0
Grosseto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 8 7 1 0 15:4 22
2 Ravenna 8 5 2 1 13:4 17
3 Grosseto 8 4 3 1 14:7 15
4 Reggiana 8 4 2 2 12:7 14
5 Livorno 8 4 2 2 10:9 14
6 Perugia 8 4 1 3 9:12 13
7 Guidonia 1937 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
8 Campobasso 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
9 Sassari Torres 8 3 3 2 9:9 12
10 Pescara 8 3 2 3 10:11 11
11 Forli FC 8 2 4 2 13:12 10
12 Atalanta U23 6 3 0 3 7:9 9
13 Ostiamare 8 2 2 4 9:10 8
14 Vado 8 2 2 4 6:8 8
15 Pineto 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
16 Gubbio 8 2 1 5 10:16 7
17 Latina 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
18 Pianese 8 1 3 4 6:10 6
19 Sambenedettese 8 1 2 5 11:14 5
20 Vis Pesaro 7 1 1 5 8:16 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)