Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Livorno vs Juventus U23

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Stadio Armando Picchi
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Di Carmine S.
12' Event
Puczka D.
22'
Turicchia R.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group B game between Livorno and Juventus U23 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Juventus U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Livorno
20%
Draws
38%
Juventus U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Livorno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Livorno haven't matched Juventus U23's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Livorno taking it.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Juventus U23 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Livorno Clean Sheet 16%
Juventus U23 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Livorno Juventus U23
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 6 10
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Livorno vs Juventus U23
1:2
Aug 30, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Juventus U23 vs Livorno
2:1
Feb 7, 2021 Serie C - Group A
Juventus U23 vs Livorno
6:0
Nov 4, 2020 Serie C - Group A
Livorno vs Juventus U23
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Livorno Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Carmine S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Juventus U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Puczka D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guerra S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Livorno 41 / 100
Juventus U23 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Livorno Juventus U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Livorno scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Juventus U23 conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Livorno stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Livorno VS Juventus U23
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arezzo36248464:2480
2Ascoli36238563:2377
3Ravenna36227750:3073
4Campobasso361710949:3759
5Juventus U233614111146:4353
6Pianese361117837:3450
7Pineto3613111242:4550
8Gubbio3611151031:3248
9Ternana3614111144:4048
10Vis Pesaro3611131238:3646
11Livorno361271739:5143
12Forli FC3610101641:5240
13Carpi3610101635:4840
14Perugia368141438:4438
15Guidonia 1937368141430:3638
16Sambenedettese368131530:3737
17Sassari Torres366181232:4536
18Bra366141637:5432
19US Pontedera363112227:6220
20Rimini00000:00