Sport Picks

Italy

Serie C - Group B Stadio Armando Picchi

Livorno

1 - 2

Pianese

Our Tip

Match Events

Fabrizi L.

33'

Fabrizi L.

Penalty Missed

33'

Bertini M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pianese in this Serie C - Group B matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pianese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Livorno

33%

Draws

40%

Pianese

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Pianese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Attack-wise there's a gap: Livorno at 1.13 per game, Pianese at 0.88.
40% — that's where the model lands on Pianese taking it.
Regular Serie C - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%

Livorno Clean Sheet 22%

Pianese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Livorno	Pianese
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	10	10
Draws	6	15
Losses	12	4
Goals Scored	1.13	0.88
Goals Conceded	1.25	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Serie C - Group B

Livorno vs Pianese

Possession: 49% - 58% Cards: 4 - 3

1:2

Oct 3, 2025 Serie C - Group B

Pianese vs Livorno

Possession: 60% - 48% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Mar 10, 2024 Serie D - Group E

Livorno vs Pianese

Possession: 55% - 45% Cards: 4 - 2

1:1

Nov 15, 2023 Serie D - Group E

Pianese vs Livorno

Possession: 46% - 48% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

May 14, 2023 Serie D - Group E

Pianese vs Livorno

Possession: 48% - 47% Cards: 0 - 0

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Livorno Compare

Top Goalscorer Panaioli L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Pianese Compare

Top Goalscorer Fabrizi L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Bertini M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Livorno 29 / 100

Pianese 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Livorno Pianese

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PIA Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Livorno found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Pianese conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Livorno remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Livorno VS Pianese

1.13 Goals Scored 0.88

1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75

88% Over 1.5 50%

38% Over 2.5 25%

25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Arezzo	36	24	8	4	64:24	80
2	Ascoli	36	23	8	5	63:23	77
3	Ravenna	36	22	7	7	50:30	73
4	Campobasso	36	17	10	9	49:37	59
5	Juventus U23	36	14	11	11	46:43	53
6	Pianese	36	11	17	8	37:34	50
7	Pineto	36	13	11	12	42:45	50
8	Gubbio	36	11	15	10	31:32	48
9	Ternana	36	14	11	11	44:40	48
10	Vis Pesaro	36	11	13	12	38:36	46
11	Livorno	36	12	7	17	39:51	43
12	Forli FC	36	10	10	16	41:52	40
13	Carpi	36	10	10	16	35:48	40
14	Perugia	36	8	14	14	38:44	38
15	Guidonia 1937	36	8	14	14	30:36	38
16	Sambenedettese	36	8	13	15	30:37	37
17	Sassari Torres	36	6	18	12	32:45	36
18	Bra	36	6	14	16	37:54	32
19	US Pontedera	36	3	11	22	27:62	20
20	Rimini	0	0	0	0	0:0	0