Sport Picks

Ukraine

Druha Liga 2021/2022

AFSC Kyiv

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Livyi Bereg enters this Druha Liga 2021/2022 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 71%. Livyi Bereg averages 1.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded in recent matches. AFSC Kyiv shows a form average of 0.4 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Livyi Bereg, 0 wins for AFSC Kyiv, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 13.04.22 ended in a 0:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.48 for Livyi Bereg and 0.94 for AFSC Kyiv, suggesting the primary value lies in the Livyi Bereg double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%

Livyi Bereg

20%

Draws

AFSC Kyiv

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Livyi Bereg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Livyi Bereg picked up more points recently compared to AFSC Kyiv.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 0.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 72%

Over 2.5 Goals 45%

Over 3.5 Goals 27%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%

Livyi Bereg Clean Sheet 24%

AFSC Kyiv Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 65%

Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Livyi Bereg	AFSC Kyiv
Matches Played	32	19
Wins	21	1
Draws	7	4
Losses	4	14
Goals Scored	1.69	0.37
Goals Conceded	0.66	2.11

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

13.04.22 Druha Liga

Livyi Bereg vs AFSC Kyiv

Possession: 50% - 56% Cards: 3 - 4

0:0

17.09.21 Druha Liga

Livyi Bereg vs AFSC Kyiv

Possession: 57% - 45% Cards: 3 - 3

2:0

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Livyi Bereg

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)

Attacking Style Keep the ball

Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses

Defensive Alignment Sit deep

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

AFSC Kyiv

Pressing Intensity Medium Block

Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks

Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Livyi Bereg 69 / 100

AFSC Kyiv 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Livyi Bereg AFSC Kyiv

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Livyi Bereg Win (1)

Secondary Pick Livyi Bereg & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +12.9%

1.59

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.2%

2.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Livyi Bereg is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.

Livyi Bereg 78%

AFSC Kyiv 7%

15' - 30' Dominance Index

AFSC Kyiv will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Livyi Bereg's attacks.

Livyi Bereg 67%

AFSC Kyiv 9%

30' - 45' Dominance Index

Expect Livyi Bereg to create chances through sustained possession before the break.

Livyi Bereg 71%

AFSC Kyiv 9%

45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Livyi Bereg vary their attacking width.

Livyi Bereg 75%

AFSC Kyiv 9%

60' - 75' Dominance Index

Fatigue may set in for AFSC Kyiv, allowing Livyi Bereg's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.

Livyi Bereg 64%

AFSC Kyiv 10%

75' - 90' Dominance Index

Expect a final offensive push from Livyi Bereg, while AFSC Kyiv takes risks to salvage a result.

Livyi Bereg 82%

AFSC Kyiv 10%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Livyi Bereg attacking → ← attacking AFSC Kyiv

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Livyi Bereg have found the net in 81% of their last 32 matches.

AFSC Kyiv have conceded at least one goal in 89% of their last 19 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 1.00 goals per match.

Livyi Bereg remained undefeated in 5 of their last 5 overall matchups.

AFSC Kyiv suffered defeat in 5 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low

Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

70 Points in last 5 7

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Karpaty Lviv	18	16	0	2	46:7	48
2	Livyi Bereg	19	15	1	3	47:14	46
3	LNZ Cherkasy	17	13	2	2	36:9	41
4	Dinaz Vyshgorod	19	13	1	5	33:18	40
5	Epitsentr	19	12	1	6	30:19	37
6	Munkacs Mukacheve	19	8	5	6	25:24	29
7	Karpaty Halych	18	7	4	7	23:23	25
8	Nyva Vinnytsya	17	7	4	6	29:20	25
9	Bukovyna	18	6	5	7	20:17	23
10	FC Chernihiv	18	5	5	8	17:24	20
11	Dnipro Cherkasy	18	5	2	11	24:32	17
12	Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka	19	3	6	10	16:40	15
13	Rubikon Kyiv	19	4	2	13	12:38	14
14	AFSC Kyiv	19	1	5	13	8:38	8
15	Liubomyr Stavyshche	19	1	1	17	8:51	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya	19	13	6	0	34:7	45
2	Skoruk Tomakovka	20	12	5	3	33:14	41
3	FK Balkany	20	10	9	1	34:14	39
4	Peremoga Dnipro	20	12	3	5	34:14	39
5	Tavriya	19	9	6	4	28:19	33
6	SC Poltava	20	9	4	7	29:27	31
7	Trostyanets	19	9	4	6	34:29	31
8	MFK Mykolaiv	17	8	6	3	35:24	30
9	FC Vovchansk	20	7	6	7	27:25	27
10	Victoria	19	8	3	8	22:23	27
11	Fenix Mariupol	20	6	6	8	36:29	24
12	FC Nikopol	20	5	5	10	22:42	20
13	Nova Kakhovka	20	5	2	13	20:40	17
14	Real Pharma Odesa	20	4	2	14	22:49	14
15	Krystal	20	2	3	15	19:36	9
16	FC Sumy	19	1	2	16	16:53	5