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Livyi Bereg vs Karpaty Lviv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Premier League Arena Livyi Bereg, Kyiv
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Fall P. In: Wendell
Out: Fall P.
56'
Banada E.
57'
Vantukh R.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Livyi Bereg and Karpaty Lviv finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Livyi Bereg
30%
Draws
39%
Karpaty Lviv
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Karpaty Lviv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Karpaty Lviv come out ahead of Livyi Bereg on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Livyi Bereg Clean Sheet 18%
Karpaty Lviv Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Livyi Bereg Karpaty Lviv
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 14 17
Draws 10 7
Losses 3 4
Goals Scored 1.52 1.86
Goals Conceded 0.7 0.64
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Premier League
Livyi Bereg vs Karpaty Lviv
1:1
May 2, 2025 Premier League
Livyi Bereg vs Karpaty Lviv
2:3
Nov 2, 2024 Premier League
Karpaty Lviv vs Livyi Bereg
3:0
May 18, 2024 Persha Liga
Karpaty Lviv vs Livyi Bereg
3:3
Apr 12, 2024 Persha Liga
Livyi Bereg vs Karpaty Lviv
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Livyi Bereg Compare

Top Goalscorer Vorobchak N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Karpaty Lviv Compare

Top Goalscorer Fellipe Vieira
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Livyi Bereg 32 / 100
Karpaty Lviv 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Livyi Bereg Karpaty Lviv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Livyi Bereg found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).

Solid form: Livyi Bereg remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Karpaty Lviv let in goals in 46% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Livyi Bereg VS Karpaty Lviv
1.13 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Livyi Bereg

(Home)
19 Sept
Epitsentr
0 : 2
Livyi Bereg
13 Sept
Polissya Zhytomyr
1 : 0
Livyi Bereg
09 Sept
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1 : 2
Livyi Bereg
04 Sept
Ch. Odesa
0 : 0
Livyi Bereg
29 Aug
Livyi Bereg
1 : 1
Karpaty Lviv
Page 1 of 6

Karpaty Lviv

(Away)
03 Oct
KV Mechelen
2 : 3
Karpaty Lviv
20 Sept
Karpaty Lviv
1 : 1
Veres Rivne
16 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka
2 : 3
Karpaty Lviv
11 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka
0 : 2
Karpaty Lviv
05 Sept
Karpaty Lviv
1 : 2
Shakhtar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhtar 8 7 0 1 18:4 21
2 Polissya Zhytomyr 7 6 0 1 15:5 18
3 FC Kharkiv 7 5 0 2 14:5 15
4 Karpaty Lviv 7 4 2 1 15:5 14
5 Dynamo Kyiv 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
6 Veres Rivne 8 2 3 3 6:9 9
7 Zorya 7 2 2 3 7:11 8
8 Kolos Kovalivka 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
9 LNZ Cherkasy 7 2 2 3 5:8 8
10 Epitsentr 8 2 2 4 7:10 8
11 Livyi Bereg 6 1 4 1 4:3 7
12 Bukovyna 7 1 4 2 4:6 7
13 Ch. Odesa 7 1 2 4 4:9 5
14 Kryvbas 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
15 Obolon 7 0 4 3 2:12 4
16 Kudrivka 7 0 2 5 5:18 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)