Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Livyi Bereg vs Metalist Kharkiv

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga 2025/2026 Arena Livyi Bereg, Kyiv
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Banada E.
25'
Sub
Henrique D. In: Voloshyn V.
Out: Henrique D.
33' Event
Silva S.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Livyi Bereg in this Persha Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Livyi Bereg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Livyi Bereg
22%
Draws
18%
Metalist Kharkiv
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Livyi Bereg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Livyi Bereg lately — more wins on the board than Metalist Kharkiv.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Livyi Bereg taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Livyi Bereg Clean Sheet 68%
Metalist Kharkiv Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Livyi Bereg Metalist Kharkiv
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 19 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 2 12
Goals Scored 1.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 Persha Liga
Livyi Bereg vs Metalist Kharkiv
3:0
Sep 29, 2025 Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv vs Livyi Bereg
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Livyi Bereg Compare

Top Goalscorer Voloshyn V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Banada E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Metalist Kharkiv Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Livyi Bereg 68 / 100
Metalist Kharkiv 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Livyi Bereg Metalist Kharkiv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Livyi Bereg found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Livyi Bereg has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Metalist Kharkiv's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Livyi Bereg VS Metalist Kharkiv
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Livyi Bereg

(Home)
21 Jul
Livyi Bereg
2 : 2
Obolon
18 Jul
Livyi Bereg
2 : 1
FC Chernihiv
14 Jul
Livyi Bereg
1 : 1
Victoria
11 Jul
Livyi Bereg
4 : 0
Kudrivka
09 Jun
Livyi Bereg
1 : 0
Oleksandriya
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Metalist Kharkiv

(Away)
26 Jul
Kulikiv
2 : 1
Metalist Kharkiv
14 Jul
Bukovyna
1 : 1
Metalist Kharkiv
01 Jun
Ch. Odesa
1 : 0
Metalist Kharkiv
26 May
FC Chernihiv
1 : 2
Metalist Kharkiv
23 May
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 0
UCSA
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bukovyna30263174:2181
2Ch. Odesa30198344:2065
3Livyi Bereg30196550:2163
4Ahrobiznes Volochysk30165936:2853
5Inhulets301210841:3246
6Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)309101133:3337
7Metalist Kharkiv301071331:3537
8Probiy Horodenka301061429:3736
9Fenix Mariupol30991231:3236
10Victoria301061437:3836
11UCSA301061430:4036
12Nyva Ternopil308101224:3434
13FC Chernihiv30871530:3631
14Vorskla Poltava30791423:3630
15FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi30491720:4521
16MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya30471916:6119
17Minaj00000:00
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Relegation - Druha Liga (Main)