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Livyi Bereg vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga 2025/2026 Arena Livyi Bereg
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Match Events

35' Event
Vorobchak N.
40' Event
Wendell
43' Event
Wendell

AI Match Summary

The Persha Liga 2025/2026 game between Livyi Bereg and MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Livyi Bereg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Livyi Bereg
6%
Draws
4%
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Livyi Bereg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Livyi Bereg come out ahead of MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Livyi Bereg taking it.
  • Regular Persha Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Livyi Bereg have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Livyi Bereg Clean Sheet 20%
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Livyi Bereg MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 17 5
Draws 7 6
Losses 2 19
Goals Scored 1.63 0.43
Goals Conceded 0.38 2.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 2.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Persha Liga
Livyi Bereg vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
4:0
Nov 1, 2025 Persha Liga
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Livyi Bereg
0:5
Nov 12, 2023 Persha Liga
Livyi Bereg vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1:0
Sep 9, 2023 Persha Liga
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Livyi Bereg
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Livyi Bereg Compare

Top Goalscorer Wendell
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vorobchak N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.24

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Livyi Bereg 85 / 100
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Livyi Bereg MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Livyi Bereg found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (26 games).

Livyi Bereg has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Livyi Bereg VS MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.63 Goals Scored 0.43
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.86
50% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 57%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bukovyna30263174:2181
2Ch. Odesa30198344:2065
3Livyi Bereg30196550:2163
4Ahrobiznes Volochysk30165936:2853
5Inhulets301210841:3246
6Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)309101133:3337
7Metalist Kharkiv301071331:3537
8Probiy Horodenka301061429:3736
9Fenix Mariupol30991231:3236
10Victoria301061437:3836
11UCSA301061430:4036
12Nyva Ternopil308101224:3434
13FC Chernihiv30871530:3631
14Vorskla Poltava30791423:3630
15FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi30491720:4521
16MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya30471916:6119
17Minaj00000:00