Sport Picks
Match Events
14'
14'
Knysh D.
23'
23'
Dudnyk Y.
27'
27'
Knysh D.
AI Match Summary
Victoria in this Ukrainian Cup tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Livyi Bereg
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Livyi Bereg lately — more wins on the board than Victoria.
- Livyi Bereg are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Livyi Bereg have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Livyi Bereg, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Livyi Bereg Clean Sheet 68%
Victoria Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Livyi Bereg | Victoria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 18 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 2 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.38 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.38 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Livyi Bereg vs Victoria
1:1
Nov 28, 2025 Persha Liga
Livyi Bereg vs Victoria
3:0
Sep 17, 2025 Ukrainian Cup
Livyi Bereg vs Victoria
0:1
Aug 15, 2025 Persha Liga
Victoria vs Livyi Bereg
1:2
Jul 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Livyi Bereg vs Victoria
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Livyi Bereg Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Victoria Compare
Top Goalscorer Dudnyk Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Livyi Bereg 95 / 100
Victoria 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Livyi Bereg Victoria
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick LIV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Livyi Bereg scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Livyi Bereg went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Victoria has conceded goals in 63% of their last 27 outings.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Livyi Bereg VS Victoria
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Livyi Bereg
(Home) 21 Jul
Livyi Bereg
2 : 2 Obolon
18 Jul
Livyi Bereg
2 : 1 FC Chernihiv
14 Jul
Livyi Bereg
1 : 1 Victoria
11 Jul
Livyi Bereg
4 : 0 Kudrivka
09 Jun
Livyi Bereg
1 : 0 Oleksandriya
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21 Jul
Livyi Bereg
2 : 2 Obolon
18 Jul
Livyi Bereg
2 : 1 FC Chernihiv
14 Jul
Livyi Bereg
1 : 1 Victoria
11 Jul
Livyi Bereg
4 : 0 Kudrivka
09 Jun
Livyi Bereg
1 : 0 Oleksandriya
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Victoria
(Away) 14 Jul
Livyi Bereg
1 : 1 Victoria
01 Jun
Fenix Mariupol
2 : 0 Victoria
23 May
Victoria
0 : 1 Probiy Horodenka
16 May
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1 : 0 Victoria
10 May
Victoria
2 : 2 Inhulets
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14 Jul
Livyi Bereg
1 : 1 Victoria
01 Jun
Fenix Mariupol
2 : 0 Victoria
16 May
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1 : 0 Victoria
04 May
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 3 Victoria
19 Apr
UCSA
1 : 1 Victoria
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Denhoff Denykhivka3
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)2
Dinaz Vyshgorod0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk3
Kolos Polonne1
Naftovyk Dolyna0
FC Kharkiv2
Obolon0
Lokomotyv Kyiv3
Kolos Kovalivka2
Korosten0
Veres Rivne4
Nyva Vinnytsya3
UCSA0
Hirnyk-Sport1
Trostyanets0
FC Chernihiv1
Atlet Kiev0
Kulikiv0
Kryvbas3
FC Vilkhivtsi1
Olympia Savyntsi2
Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka0
Lisne4
Epitsentr1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka2
Ch. Odesa2
Zorya1
Fazenda0
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya1
FC Uzhhorod1
Fenix Mariupol2
Metalist Kharkiv2
Mayak Sarny0
LNZ Cherkasy1
Probiy Horodenka0
Kormil Yavoriv1
Rukh Lviv2
TBD-
Polissya Zhytomyr-
Lozova0
Bukovyna3
Penuel Kryvyi Rih0
Karpaty Lviv8
Real Pharma Odesa0
Nyva Ternopil3
Iron1
SC Poltava5
Oleksandriya-
TBD-
TBD-
Dynamo Kyiv-
Polissya Stavky3
Rebel Kyiv0
TBD-
Shakhtar-
Livyi Bereg1
Kudrivka0
Victoria1
Vorskla Poltava0
Karbon Cherkasy1
Inhulets2
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi1
Skala 19110
1/16-finals
Denhoff Denykhivka0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk2
Kolos Polonne1
FC Kharkiv4
Lokomotyv Kyiv1
Veres Rivne0
Nyva Vinnytsya7
Hirnyk-Sport0
FC Chernihiv3
Kryvbas0
Olympia Savyntsi1
Lisne2
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka2
Ch. Odesa1
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya1
Fenix Mariupol2
Metalist Kharkiv0
LNZ Cherkasy2
Rukh Lviv3
Polissya Zhytomyr0
Bukovyna1
Karpaty Lviv0
Nyva Ternopil3
SC Poltava0
Oleksandriya1
Dynamo Kyiv2
Polissya Stavky0
Shakhtar1
Livyi Bereg0
Victoria1
Inhulets4
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi1
1/8-finals
Ahrobiznes Volochysk3
FC Kharkiv4
Lokomotyv Kyiv1
Nyva Vinnytsya0
FC Chernihiv2
Lisne1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka1
Fenix Mariupol2
LNZ Cherkasy1
Rukh Lviv0
Bukovyna2
Nyva Ternopil1
Dynamo Kyiv2
Shakhtar1
Victoria0
Inhulets1
Quarter-finals
FC Kharkiv3
Lokomotyv Kyiv0
FC Chernihiv1
Fenix Mariupol0
LNZ Cherkasy0
Bukovyna1
Dynamo Kyiv2
Inhulets0
Semi-finals
FC Kharkiv0
FC Chernihiv1
Bukovyna0
Dynamo Kyiv3
Final
FC Chernihiv1
Dynamo Kyiv3