Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ljubljana Svoboda vs Litija - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Ocepek D.
53' Event
Radonjic A.
70' Event
Ursic L.

AI Match Summary

Litija in this 3. SNL - West matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Litija.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Ljubljana Svoboda
20%
Draws
63%
Litija
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Litija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Ljubljana Svoboda have won more games recently than Litija.
  • Model gives Litija a 63% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Ljubljana Svoboda Clean Sheet 10%
Litija Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ljubljana Svoboda Litija
Matches Played 30 11
Wins 7 4
Draws 5 3
Losses 18 4
Goals Scored 1.13 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 3. SNL - West
Ljubljana Svoboda vs Litija
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ljubljana Svoboda Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Litija Compare

Top Goalscorer Ocepek D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Radonjic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ljubljana Svoboda 10 / 100
Litija 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ljubljana Svoboda Litija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Litija Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ljubljana Svoboda scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Litija's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 11 matches.

Solid form: Ljubljana Svoboda remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ljubljana Svoboda VS Litija
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ljubljana Svoboda

(Home)
10 Oct
Ljubljana Svoboda
1 : 0
Skofja Loka
03 Oct
Tolmin
2 : 0
Ljubljana Svoboda
26 Sept
Ljubljana Svoboda
0 : 1
Sencur
19 Sept
Dob
4 : 0
Ljubljana Svoboda
12 Sept
Ljubljana Svoboda
3 : 5
Fama Vipava
Page 1 of 6

Litija

(Away)
10 Oct
Litija
1 : 1
Dob
04 Oct
Fama Vipava
0 : 4
Litija
26 Sept
Litija
3 : 0
Adria Miren
19 Sept
IB 1975 Ljubljana
0 : 3
Litija
12 Sept
Sobec Lesce
1 : 1
Litija
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izola 9 9 0 0 40:6 27
2 Dob 9 6 2 1 22:7 20
3 Zidgrad Idrija 9 6 1 2 15:11 19
4 Sencur 9 4 4 1 17:11 16
5 Litija 9 4 3 2 16:8 15
6 Tolmin 9 4 3 2 18:12 15
7 Rudar Trbovlje 9 4 1 4 13:19 13
8 Skofja Loka 9 3 3 3 15:18 12
9 Adria Miren 9 3 1 5 19:17 10
10 IB 1975 Ljubljana 9 2 1 6 9:18 7
11 Ziri 9 1 4 4 9:14 7
12 Fama Vipava 9 2 0 7 14:41 6
13 Ljubljana Svoboda 9 1 1 7 6:21 4
14 Sobec Lesce 9 0 4 5 6:16 4
Promotion - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)