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Ljuboten Tetovo vs Renova Prediction & H2H Stats

North Macedonia North Macedonia

Macedonian Cup 2022/2023
Wed, Sep 14, 2022
3 - 0
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Macedonian Cup 2022/2023. This has Renova written all over it on paper. Ljuboten Tetovo have averaged 0.55 scored and 5.64 conceded recently, against Renova's 1.25 scored and 1.13 conceded. Past meetings favor Ljuboten Tetovo slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 14, 2022, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 0.69 vs 4.00, favoring Renova. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Ljuboten Tetovo
15%
Draws
65%
Renova
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Renova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Ljuboten Tetovo haven't matched Renova's recent run of results.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Renova taking it.
  • Renova arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ljuboten Tetovo, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Ljuboten Tetovo Clean Sheet 10%
Renova Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ljuboten Tetovo Renova
Matches Played 11 8
Wins 1 3
Draws 0 2
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 0.55 1.25
Goals Conceded 5.64 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2022 Macedonian Cup
Ljuboten Tetovo vs Renova
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ljuboten Tetovo 10 / 100
Renova 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ljuboten Tetovo Renova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Renova Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Renova has conceded goals in 75% of their last 8 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Ljuboten Tetovo found the back of the net in 36% of recent matches (11 games).

Solid form: Ljuboten Tetovo remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ljuboten Tetovo VS Renova
1 Goals Scored 0
7.67 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 13%
100% Over 2.5 13%
67% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ljuboten Tetovo

(Home)
26 Aug
Ljuboten Tetovo
0 : 14
Makedonija GP
05 Oct
Brera Strumica
9 : 0
Ljuboten Tetovo
14 Sept
Ljuboten Tetovo
3 : 0
Renova
15 Sept
Ljuboten Tetovo
0 : 9
Pelister
23 Sept
Pelister
4 : 0
Ljuboten Tetovo
Page 1 of 3

Renova

(Away)
14 Sept
Ljuboten Tetovo
3 : 0
Renova
15 May
Borec
1 : 5
Renova
08 May
Renova
2 : 0
FK Skopje
04 May
Tikves
0 : 1
Renova
01 May
Renova
1 : 1
Struga
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Vardar Negotino 1
Struga 2
BVK Konjare 0
Rabotnicki 5
Sloga Vinica 0
Bregalnica Stip 3
KF Gostivar 0
Pelister 1
Kozuf Gevgelija 0
Tikves 2
TBD -
Sileks -
Kamenica Sasa 0
Vardar 3
Fortuna Skopje 5
Borec 3
Belasica Strumica 1
Shkupi 3
Zajazi 0
Voska Sport 3
Karaorman Struga 0
Shkendija Tetovo 3
Crno Buki 0
FK Skopje 3
Karbinci 0
Pobeda 6
TBD -
Makedonija GP -
Teteks 0
Brera Strumica 6
Ljuboten Tetovo 3
Renova 0
1/8-finals
Struga 2
Rabotnicki 1
Bregalnica Stip 1
Pelister 0
Tikves 0
Sileks 1
Vardar 4
Fortuna Skopje 0
Shkupi 6
Voska Sport 0
Shkendija Tetovo 5
FK Skopje 0
Pobeda 0
Makedonija GP 2
Brera Strumica 9
Ljuboten Tetovo 0
Quarter-finals
Struga 2
Bregalnica Stip 0
Sileks 1
Vardar 0
Shkupi 0
Shkendija Tetovo 3
Makedonija GP 1
Brera Strumica 0
Semi-finals
Struga 1
Sileks 0
Shkendija Tetovo 1
Makedonija GP 2
Final
Struga 1
Makedonija GP 2