Sport Picks

Sweden

Division 2 - Östra Götaland 2012

Hagapojkarna

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ljungby play Hagapojkarna in the Division 2 - Östra Götaland 2012. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ljungby averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. Hagapojkarna averaged 1.17 goals scored and 2.48 conceded. In past meetings, Ljungby won 1, Hagapojkarna won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 15, 2012 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Ljungby and 1.13 for Hagapojkarna. This points to a Ljungby double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Ljungby

29%

Draws

20%

Hagapojkarna

Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Ljungby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence

Ljungby picked up more points recently compared to Hagapojkarna.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 91%

Over 2.5 Goals 65%

Over 3.5 Goals 39%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%

Ljungby Clean Sheet 21%

Hagapojkarna Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 82%

Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ljungby	Hagapojkarna
Matches Played	32	23
Wins	9	2
Draws	9	7
Losses	14	14
Goals Scored	1.25	1.17
Goals Conceded	1.75	2.48

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2012 Division 2 - Östra Götaland

Hagapojkarna vs Ljungby

Possession: 42% - 50% Cards: 0 - 4

1:2

May 14, 2012 Division 2 - Östra Götaland

Ljungby vs Hagapojkarna

Possession: 57% - 42% Cards: 4 - 4

3:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ljungby 50 / 100

Hagapojkarna 21 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ljungby Hagapojkarna

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ljungby or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18.8%

2.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.69

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ljungby attacking → ← attacking Hagapojkarna

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ljungby scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Hagapojkarna let in goals in 96% of their last 23 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Ljungby went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Hagapojkarna lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 13

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Husqvarna	22	15	6	1	56:21	51
2	Oskarshamn	22	15	5	2	49:19	50
3	Lindsdals	22	13	6	3	52:27	45
4	Motala	22	11	4	7	48:29	37
5	Karlskrona	22	10	3	9	39:37	33
6	Tenhults	22	9	3	10	37:40	30
7	Ljungby	22	9	3	10	32:37	30
8	Vimmerby	22	8	4	10	29:33	28
9	Assyriska IF	22	6	4	12	34:46	22
10	Tord	22	6	1	15	21:49	19
11	Hagapojkarna	22	2	7	13	26:54	13
12	Myresjo	22	3	4	15	25:56	13