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Ljungskile vs Assyriska IK

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra 2021 Skarsjövallen
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ljungskile play Assyriska IK in the Division 1 - Södra 2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ljungskile averaged 1.97 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Assyriska IK averaged 1.43 goals scored and 2.3 conceded. In past meetings, Ljungskile won 2, Assyriska IK won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 26, 2021 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Ljungskile and 0.88 for Assyriska IK. This points to a Ljungskile double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Ljungskile
22%
Draws
26%
Assyriska IK
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Ljungskile

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Ljungskile picked up more points recently compared to Assyriska IK.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Ljungskile Clean Sheet 25%
Assyriska IK Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ljungskile Assyriska IK
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.97 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.3

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2021 Division 1 - Södra
Ljungskile vs Assyriska IK
1:1
Apr 3, 2021 Division 1 - Södra
Assyriska IK vs Ljungskile
1:0
Aug 18, 2019 Division 1 - Södra
Ljungskile vs Assyriska IK
2:1
May 25, 2019 Division 1 - Södra
Assyriska IK vs Ljungskile
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ljungskile Compare

Top Goalscorer Murana C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Assyriska IK Compare

Top Goalscorer Kadhim S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ljungskile 52 / 100
Assyriska IK 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ljungskile Assyriska IK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ljungskile or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18%
2.27
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ljungskile attacking → ← attacking Assyriska IK

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ljungskile scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Assyriska IK let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Ljungskile went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Assyriska IK lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 29
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Utsikten30184860:3258
2Skovde30176752:3157
3Oskarshamn30166859:3254
4Trollhattan30159652:3354
5Tvaaker301310751:3149
6Ljungskile301210852:3646
7Lunds Bois301351252:5044
8Qviding301091141:4439
9Vanersborgs IF301151446:5238
10Torns301151444:5938
11IFK Malmo309101135:4537
12Lindome301061444:4636
13Atvidaberg308101240:4334
14Assyriska IK30961542:6033
15Osterlen FF30871547:6331
16Linkoping City30442228:8816