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Ljungskile vs Falkenberg Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Skarsjövallen, Uddevalla
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Andersson A.
Assist: Kallstrom H.
46'
Sub
Lindholm Corner L. In: Hedstrom J. D. E.
Out: Lindholm Corner L.
46'
Sub
Uzel M. In: Omar S.
Out: Uzel M.

AI Match Summary

Falkenberg in this Superettan matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Falkenberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ljungskile
20%
Draws
57%
Falkenberg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Falkenberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Ljungskile haven't matched Falkenberg's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Falkenberg taking it.
  • Regular Superettan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Ljungskile Clean Sheet 15%
Falkenberg Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ljungskile Falkenberg
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 14
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.29 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Superettan
Ljungskile vs Falkenberg
0:2
Apr 6, 2026 Superettan
Falkenberg vs Ljungskile
1:1
Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Falkenberg vs Ljungskile
1:1
Sep 21, 2024 Division 1 - Södra
Falkenberg vs Ljungskile
2:3
May 31, 2024 Division 1 - Södra
Ljungskile vs Falkenberg
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ljungskile Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Falkenberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Andersson A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ljungskile 23 / 100
Falkenberg 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ljungskile Falkenberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Falkenberg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ljungskile's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Falkenberg has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Ljungskile stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ljungskile VS Falkenberg
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ljungskile

(Home)
20 Sept
Sundsvall
3 : 2
Ljungskile
13 Sept
Ljungskile
0 : 2
Falkenberg
09 Sept
Ljungskile
2 : 1
Norrby
04 Sept
Norrkoping
2 : 2
Ljungskile
29 Aug
Ljungskile
0 : 1
Varnamo
Page 1 of 6

Falkenberg

(Away)
18 Sept
Falkenberg
0 : 0
Ostersund
13 Sept
Ljungskile
0 : 2
Falkenberg
10 Sept
Falkenberg
2 : 1
Oster
05 Sept
Oddevold
2 : 1
Falkenberg
29 Aug
Falkenberg
4 : 1
Brage
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 25 17 4 4 48:16 55
2 Falkenberg 25 13 6 6 46:33 45
3 Varberg 25 13 5 7 44:33 44
4 Ostersund 25 11 10 4 33:24 43
5 Landskrona 25 11 7 7 39:26 40
6 Sandviken 25 10 7 8 43:33 37
7 Oddevold 25 9 9 7 38:34 36
8 Oster 25 11 3 11 38:38 36
9 Nordic United 25 9 9 7 38:40 36
10 Helsingborg 25 8 6 11 36:45 30
11 Varnamo 25 8 5 12 33:45 29
12 Ljungskile 25 6 7 12 31:38 25
13 Norrby 25 4 12 9 28:35 24
14 Orebro 25 5 9 11 27:39 24
15 Brage 25 5 8 12 39:48 23
16 Sundsvall 25 6 1 18 19:53 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)