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Ljungskile vs Sundsvall

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Skarsjövallen
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Match Events

18' Event
Uzel M.
Assist: Ljung D.
32'
Manchon M.
36'
Aviander H.

AI Match Summary

The Superettan game between Ljungskile and Sundsvall finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ljungskile.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ljungskile
6%
Draws
4%
Sundsvall
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ljungskile

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ljungskile come out ahead of Sundsvall on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ljungskile's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Superettan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ljungskile Clean Sheet 20%
Sundsvall Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ljungskile Sundsvall
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 6 3
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.25 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Superettan
Ljungskile vs Sundsvall
1:0
Oct 26, 2020 Superettan
Ljungskile vs Sundsvall
0:0
Aug 7, 2020 Superettan
Sundsvall vs Ljungskile
5:2
Sep 25, 2014 Superettan
Ljungskile vs Sundsvall
0:0
May 24, 2014 Superettan
Sundsvall vs Ljungskile
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ljungskile Compare

Top Goalscorer Uzel M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sundsvall Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ljungskile 85 / 100
Sundsvall 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ljungskile Sundsvall

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LJU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sundsvall has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: Ljungskile scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Ljungskile stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ljungskile VS Sundsvall
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Falkenberg1484228:2028
2Varberg1483328:1727
3Norrkoping1482423:1026
4Landskrona1474322:1425
5Ostersund1464422:1922
6Nordic United1464423:2222
7Oddevold1455426:2220
8Oster1462621:2320
9Helsingborg1462626:2920
10Sandviken1454524:2019
11Brage1444626:2616
12Ljungskile1444618:1816
13Norrby1428416:2014
14Orebro1435613:2014
15Varnamo14311015:3110
16Sundsvall14301111:319