Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ljungskile vs Varberg

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Skarsjövallen, Uddevalla
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Vidjeskog I.
16' Event
Broman G.
Assist: Winbo A.
24'
Broman G.

AI Match Summary

The Superettan game between Ljungskile and Varberg finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Varberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Ljungskile
20%
Draws
51%
Varberg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Varberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Varberg come out ahead of Ljungskile on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Superettan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Ljungskile Clean Sheet 13%
Varberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ljungskile Varberg
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 12 16
Draws 5 4
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.65 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Superettan
Ljungskile vs Varberg
1:3
Mar 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Varberg vs Ljungskile
0:2
Aug 31, 2022 Svenska Cupen
Ljungskile vs Varberg
0:4
Mar 12, 2020 Club Friendly
Varberg vs Ljungskile
0:0
Oct 29, 2016 Superettan
Varberg vs Ljungskile
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ljungskile Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Varberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Vidjeskog I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Broman G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ljungskile 31 / 100
Varberg 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ljungskile Varberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ljungskile found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (26 games).

Varberg let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Ljungskile went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ljungskile VS Varberg
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ljungskile

(Home)
15 Aug
Ljungskile
2 : 3
Oster
08 Aug
Ljungskile
0 : 1
Oddevold
02 Aug
Nordic United
2 : 2
Ljungskile
26 Jul
Ljungskile
0 : 3
Sandviken
19 Jul
Varnamo
2 : 3
Ljungskile
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Varberg

(Away)
15 Aug
Nordic United
0 : 0
Varberg
09 Aug
Varberg
0 : 1
Sandviken
01 Aug
Varberg
2 : 1
Falkenberg
27 Jul
Oster
3 : 0
Varberg
18 Jul
Oddevold
2 : 4
Varberg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 19 13 2 4 36:11 41
2 Falkenberg 19 10 5 4 36:27 35
3 Varberg 19 10 4 5 34:24 34
4 Ostersund 19 9 6 4 29:22 33
5 Landskrona 19 8 5 6 25:20 29
6 Nordic United 19 7 8 4 29:26 29
7 Oster 19 9 2 8 30:29 29
8 Sandviken 19 8 4 7 34:27 28
9 Oddevold 19 6 8 5 30:27 26
10 Helsingborg 19 7 4 8 32:37 25
11 Norrby 19 4 10 5 24:26 22
12 Brage 19 5 6 8 33:36 21
13 Ljungskile 19 5 5 9 25:29 20
14 Varnamo 19 5 3 11 23:37 18
15 Orebro 19 3 7 9 18:31 16
16 Sundsvall 19 3 1 15 14:43 10
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)