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Ljusdals W vs Vasteras BK 30 W

Sweden Sweden

Elitettan Women 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ljusdals W play Vasteras BK 30 W in the Elitettan Women 2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ljusdals W averaged 1.23 goals scored and 2 conceded. Vasteras BK 30 W averaged 1.52 goals scored and 3.1 conceded. In past meetings, Ljusdals W won 1, Vasteras BK 30 W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 5, 2018 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.96 for Ljusdals W and 1.71 for Vasteras BK 30 W. This points to a Ljusdals W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Ljusdals W
20%
Draws
26%
Vasteras BK 30 W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ljusdals W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Ljusdals W picked up more points recently compared to Vasteras BK 30 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.96 vs 1.71 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Ljusdals W Clean Sheet 12%
Vasteras BK 30 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ljusdals W Vasteras BK 30 W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 5
Draws 9 3
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 1.23 1.52
Goals Conceded 2 3.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.67 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2018 Elitettan Women
Ljusdals W vs Vasteras BK 30 W
4:1
May 10, 2018 Elitettan Women
Vasteras BK 30 W vs Ljusdals W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ljusdals W Compare

Top Goalscorer Dowd H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gabrielsson E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Vasteras BK 30 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Chu O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ljusdals W 51 / 100
Vasteras BK 30 W 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ljusdals W Vasteras BK 30 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ljusdals W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Ljusdals W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.6%
1.41
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ljusdals W attacking → ← attacking Vasteras BK 30 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ljusdals W scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Vasteras BK 30 W let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Ljusdals W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Vasteras BK 30 W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 18
1.67 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
2.67 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kungsbacka W26178157:2659
2KIF Orebro W26167360:2355
3Lidkoping W26165573:3253
4Kvarnsvedens W26154761:2949
5Assi W26136744:2845
6Mallbacken W261141140:4637
7Sundsvall W261211340:5637
8IK Uppsala Fotboll W261041239:4134
9AIK W2689947:4533
10Umea W26881038:4332
11Asarum W26681235:4726
12Ljusdals W265101136:4825
13Vasteras BK 30 W26341927:7413
14Boljan W2606209:686