Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ljutomer vs NK Smartno

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

NK Smartno in this 3. SNL - East matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored NK Smartno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Ljutomer
20%
Draws
56%
NK Smartno
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: NK Smartno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • NK Smartno have won more games recently than Ljutomer.
  • NK Smartno are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular 3. SNL - East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors NK Smartno here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Ljutomer Clean Sheet 10%
NK Smartno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ljutomer NK Smartno
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 9 8
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.6 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 3. SNL - East
Ljutomer vs NK Smartno
1:2
Apr 4, 2026 3. SNL - East
Ljutomer vs NK Smartno
2:3
Sep 21, 2025 3. SNL - East
NK Smartno vs Ljutomer
4:2
May 10, 2025 3. SNL - East
Ljutomer vs NK Smartno
2:9
Oct 27, 2024 3. SNL - East
NK Smartno vs Ljutomer
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ljutomer 10 / 100
NK Smartno 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ljutomer NK Smartno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NK Smartno Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ljutomer scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

NK Smartno has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Ljutomer went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ljutomer VS NK Smartno
2.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ljutomer

(Home)
26 Sept
Ljutomer
1 : 2
NK Smartno
19 Sept
Korotan Prevalje
1 : 1
Ljutomer
12 Sept
Ljutomer
1 : 1
NK Ormoz
05 Sept
Hajdina
3 : 1
Ljutomer
29 Aug
Ljutomer
3 : 0
Sampion Celje
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NK Smartno

(Away)
26 Sept
Ljutomer
1 : 2
NK Smartno
19 Sept
NK Smartno
8 : 1
Podvinci
12 Sept
NK Carda Martjanci
7 : 1
NK Smartno
05 Sept
NK Smartno
2 : 1
Race
29 Aug
NK Smartno
3 : 0
SD Videm
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Odranci 7 6 1 0 24:11 19
2 Fuzinar 7 5 0 2 23:16 15
3 NK Ormoz 7 4 1 2 17:11 13
4 NK Smartno 7 4 1 2 18:14 13
5 NK Carda Martjanci 7 3 2 2 18:13 11
6 Korotan Prevalje 7 2 4 1 9:7 10
7 Podvinci 7 3 1 3 11:14 10
8 Hajdina 7 2 3 2 13:15 9
9 Ljutomer 7 2 2 3 11:10 8
10 SD Videm 8 2 2 4 14:19 8
11 Race 7 1 3 3 7:9 6
12 Dobrovce 6 2 0 4 8:16 6
13 Sampion Celje 7 1 1 5 11:18 4
14 Limbus-Pekre 7 1 1 5 6:17 4
Promotion - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)