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Ljutomer vs Rudar

Slovenia Slovenia

Slovenian Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Leko N.
39' Event
Gibson G.
72' Event
Leko N.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Rudar in this Slovenian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Ljutomer
20%
Draws
51%
Rudar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rudar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rudar lately — more wins on the board than Ljutomer.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Ljutomer taking it.
  • Rudar arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Rudar, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ljutomer Clean Sheet 12%
Rudar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ljutomer Rudar
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 5 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.58 1.83
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2025 Slovenian Cup
Ljutomer vs Rudar
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ljutomer Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Rudar Compare

Top Goalscorer Leko N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gibson G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ljutomer 35 / 100
Rudar 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ljutomer Rudar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ljutomer found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (26 games).

Rudar has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Ljutomer stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ljutomer VS Rudar
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ljutomer

(Home)
19 Sept
Korotan Prevalje
1 : 1
Ljutomer
12 Sept
Ljutomer
1 : 1
NK Ormoz
05 Sept
Hajdina
3 : 1
Ljutomer
29 Aug
Ljutomer
3 : 0
Sampion Celje
22 Aug
Odranci
3 : 1
Ljutomer
Page 1 of 6

Rudar

(Away)
19 Sept
NK Brezice
3 : 4
Rudar
13 Sept
Rudar
2 : 0
Triglav
04 Sept
Vrhnika
4 : 2
Rudar
29 Aug
Rudar
4 : 1
Bilje
22 Aug
Ilirija
2 : 0
Rudar
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Tromejnik Montpreis 0
Jadran Dekani 3
Malecnik 2
Kamnik 1
Beltinci 1
Radomlje 3
Tabor Sezana 1
Primorje 4
Grosuplje 2
Maribor 1
Stojnci 0
Bistrica 18
Sencur 1
O. Ljubljana 2
Makole Bar Miha 0
Celje 4
Fama Vipava 1
Bravo 2
Ljutomer 0
Rudar 3
Dravinja 1
Mura 2
Skofja Loka 1
Nafta 6
Odranci 2
Fuzinar 4
Race 2
NK Krka 1
Ziri 1
Aluminij 6
NK Polana 1
Zavrc 0
1/8-finals
Jadran Dekani 2
Malecnik 0
Radomlje 3
Primorje 2
Grosuplje 2
Bistrica 1
O. Ljubljana 1
Celje 0
Bravo 2
Rudar 0
Mura 1
Nafta 2
Fuzinar 5
Race 0
Aluminij 7
NK Polana 1
Quarter-finals
Jadran Dekani 2
Radomlje 4
Grosuplje 1
O. Ljubljana 0
Bravo 2
Nafta 0
Fuzinar 0
Aluminij 4
Semi-finals
Radomlje 0
Grosuplje 1
Bravo 0
Aluminij 1
Final
Grosuplje 0
Aluminij 1