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Ljutomer vs Sampion Celje

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - East 2024/2025 game between Ljutomer and Sampion Celje finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ljutomer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Ljutomer
20%
Draws
30%
Sampion Celje
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ljutomer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Ljutomer carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ljutomer are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular 3. SNL - East 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ljutomer Clean Sheet 14%
Sampion Celje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ljutomer Sampion Celje
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 4
Draws 9 4
Losses 14 22
Goals Scored 1.48 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.9 2.7
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 3. SNL - East
Ljutomer vs Sampion Celje
3:0
May 24, 2025 3. SNL - East
Ljutomer vs Sampion Celje
3:0
Nov 9, 2024 3. SNL - East
Sampion Celje vs Ljutomer
1:2
May 4, 2024 3. SNL - East
Sampion Celje vs Ljutomer
1:1
Oct 21, 2023 3. SNL - East
Ljutomer vs Sampion Celje
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ljutomer 48 / 100
Sampion Celje 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ljutomer Sampion Celje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ljutomer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sampion Celje let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Ljutomer found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Ljutomer has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ljutomer VS Sampion Celje
2.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ljutomer

(Home)
26 Sept
Ljutomer
1 : 2
NK Smartno
19 Sept
Korotan Prevalje
1 : 1
Ljutomer
12 Sept
Ljutomer
1 : 1
NK Ormoz
05 Sept
Hajdina
3 : 1
Ljutomer
29 Aug
Ljutomer
3 : 0
Sampion Celje
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Sampion Celje

(Away)
27 Sept
Odranci
5 : 1
Sampion Celje
19 Sept
Sampion Celje
0 : 2
Dobrovce
12 Sept
Fuzinar
4 : 3
Sampion Celje
05 Sept
Sampion Celje
4 : 0
Limbus-Pekre
29 Aug
Ljutomer
3 : 0
Sampion Celje
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krsko Posavje 26 17 3 6 64:26 54
2 NK Brezice 26 15 5 6 54:32 50
3 SD Videm 26 15 4 7 48:30 49
4 NK Smartno 26 12 4 10 69:54 40
5 Hajdina 26 11 6 9 45:39 39
6 Ljutomer 26 11 5 10 34:43 38
7 Korotan Prevalje 26 10 6 10 39:42 36
8 NK Carda Martjanci 26 9 9 8 43:47 36
9 Zavrc 26 9 7 10 44:44 34
10 Podvinci 26 7 11 8 36:38 32
11 Fuzinar 26 9 3 14 40:45 30
12 Dobrovce 26 9 3 14 43:51 30
13 Starse 26 6 5 15 33:62 23
14 Sampion Celje 26 5 3 18 29:68 18
Promotion - 2. SNL 2025/2026 (Main)