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LKS Lagow vs Cracovia

Poland Poland

Polish Cup 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

LKS Lagow play Cracovia in the Polish Cup 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, LKS Lagow averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. Cracovia averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, LKS Lagow won 0, Cracovia won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 31, 2022 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for LKS Lagow and 0.99 for Cracovia. This points to a Cracovia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
LKS Lagow
31%
Draws
36%
Cracovia
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Cracovia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • LKS Lagow picked up more points recently compared to Cracovia.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 0.99 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
LKS Lagow Clean Sheet 23%
Cracovia Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LKS Lagow Cracovia
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 4
Draws 2 16
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 0.8 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2022 Polish Cup
LKS Lagow vs Cracovia
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

LKS Lagow Compare

Top Goalscorer Seweryn L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Cracovia Compare

Top Goalscorer Kakabadze O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ghita V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LKS Lagow 34 / 100
Cracovia 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LKS Lagow Cracovia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cracovia or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

LKS Lagow attacking → ← attacking Cracovia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

LKS Lagow scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Cracovia let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

LKS Lagow went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Cracovia lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 28
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13