Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2022/2023

Orleta Radzyn

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

LKS Lagow play Orleta Radzyn in the III Liga - Group IV 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, LKS Lagow averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. Orleta Radzyn averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.85 conceded. In past meetings, LKS Lagow won 2, Orleta Radzyn won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 6, 2023 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.67 for LKS Lagow and 0.74 for Orleta Radzyn. This points to a LKS Lagow double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

LKS Lagow

15%

Draws

42%

Orleta Radzyn

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: LKS Lagow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

LKS Lagow picked up more points recently compared to Orleta Radzyn.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.67 vs 0.74 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 75%

Over 3.5 Goals 45%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%

LKS Lagow Clean Sheet 27%

Orleta Radzyn Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	LKS Lagow	Orleta Radzyn
Matches Played	30	34
Wins	10	9
Draws	2	9
Losses	18	16
Goals Scored	0.8	1.38
Goals Conceded	2.07	1.85

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2023 III Liga - Group IV

LKS Lagow vs Orleta Radzyn

Possession: 55% - 53% Cards: 4 - 1

0:3

Oct 1, 2022 III Liga - Group IV

Orleta Radzyn vs LKS Lagow

Possession: 42% - 49% Cards: 3 - 2

0:1

May 29, 2022 III Liga - Group IV

LKS Lagow vs Orleta Radzyn

Possession: 46% - 42% Cards: 0 - 3

2:1

Oct 23, 2021 III Liga - Group IV

Orleta Radzyn vs LKS Lagow

Possession: 47% - 56% Cards: 1 - 0

4:1

May 15, 2021 III Liga - Group IV

Orleta Radzyn vs LKS Lagow

Possession: 53% - 49% Cards: 4 - 1

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LKS Lagow 44 / 100

Orleta Radzyn 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

LKS Lagow Orleta Radzyn

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: LKS Lagow or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23%

2.86

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.7%

1.45

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

LKS Lagow attacking → ← attacking Orleta Radzyn

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

LKS Lagow scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Orleta Radzyn let in goals in 85% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

LKS Lagow went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Orleta Radzyn lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 36

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.38

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Stal Stalowa Wola	34	23	5	6	72:27	74
2	Avia Swidnik	34	19	11	4	58:26	68
3	KS Wieczysta Krakow	34	20	7	7	75:35	67
4	Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski	34	17	7	10	61:36	58
5	Biala Podlaska	34	14	13	7	63:42	55
6	Cracovia II	34	16	6	12	69:48	54
7	Wisloka Debica	34	15	7	12	54:46	52
8	Sokol Sieniawa	34	14	6	14	57:65	48
9	Czarni Polaniec	34	15	2	17	47:58	47
10	Podhale Nowy Targ	34	13	6	15	59:47	45
11	Orleta Radzyn	34	13	4	17	44:63	43
12	Chelmianka Chelm	34	10	10	14	45:47	40
13	Unia Tarnow	34	10	10	14	43:66	40
14	Wiazownica	34	11	7	16	49:59	40
15	Korona Kielce II	34	10	9	15	63:58	39
16	Sandomierz	34	7	6	21	40:91	27
17	Lublinianka	34	7	2	25	43:92	23
18	LKS Lagow	34	11	4	19	27:63	37