Sport Picks

Stadium Background

LKS Lodz vs Stal Mielec

Poland Poland

Division 1 Stadion ŁKS, Lodz
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Arasa A.
44'
Rudol S.
46'
Sub
Nowakowski K. In: Hinokio K.
Out: Nowakowski K.

AI Match Summary

LKS Lodz in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored LKS Lodz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
LKS Lodz
30%
Draws
23%
Stal Mielec
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: LKS Lodz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to LKS Lodz lately — more wins on the board than Stal Mielec.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on LKS Lodz taking it.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
LKS Lodz Clean Sheet 15%
Stal Mielec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LKS Lodz Stal Mielec
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 10
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.57 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Division 1
LKS Lodz vs Stal Mielec
4:0
Jul 1, 2026 Club Friendly
LKS Lodz vs Stal Mielec
0:0
Feb 23, 2026 Division 1
Stal Mielec vs LKS Lodz
1:2
Aug 15, 2025 Division 1
LKS Lodz vs Stal Mielec
2:0
Jul 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Stal Mielec vs LKS Lodz
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

LKS Lodz Compare

Top Goalscorer Arasa A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Keiblinger J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Stal Mielec Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LKS Lodz 84 / 100
Stal Mielec 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LKS Lodz Stal Mielec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LKS Lodz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stal Mielec's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

LKS Lodz's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: LKS Lodz stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

LKS Lodz VS Stal Mielec
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

LKS Lodz

(Home)
06 Sept
Arka Gdynia
1 : 1
LKS Lodz
03 Sept
Tychy
1 : 0
LKS Lodz
28 Aug
Odra Opole
0 : 0
LKS Lodz
23 Aug
LKS Lodz
4 : 0
Stal Mielec
16 Aug
LKS Lodz
2 : 1
Termalica Bruk-Bet
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Stal Mielec

(Away)
05 Sept
Stal Mielec
1 : 1
Odra Opole
02 Sept
Leczna
4 : 3
Stal Mielec
29 Aug
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 0
Stal Mielec
23 Aug
LKS Lodz
4 : 0
Stal Mielec
16 Aug
Stal Mielec
5 : 2
Polonia Bytom
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 7 4 3 0 11:5 15
2 Legnica 7 4 2 1 11:4 14
3 LKS Lodz 7 3 3 1 11:6 12
4 Chrobry Glogow 7 3 2 2 11:6 11
5 Arka Gdynia 7 3 2 2 10:6 11
6 Polonia Warszawa 7 3 1 3 11:10 10
7 Termalica Bruk-Bet 7 3 1 3 11:11 10
8 Ruch Chorzow 7 3 1 3 6:8 10
9 Warta Poznan 7 3 0 4 11:11 9
10 Odra Opole 7 2 3 2 7:7 9
11 Stal Mielec 7 2 3 2 12:14 9
12 Pogon Siedlce 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
13 S. Rzeszow 7 2 2 3 6:13 8
14 Polonia Bytom 7 1 4 2 12:15 7
15 Lechia Gdansk 7 2 1 4 8:13 7
16 Podbeskidzie 7 0 6 1 8:10 6
17 Puszcza 6 2 0 4 5:7 6
18 Unia Skierniewice 7 2 0 5 6:12 6
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)