Sport Picks

Stadium Background

LKS Lodz vs Stal Mielec - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 1 Stadion ŁKS, Lodz
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Arasa A.
44'
Rudol S.
46'
Sub
Nowakowski K. In: Hinokio K.
Out: Nowakowski K.

AI Match Summary

LKS Lodz in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored LKS Lodz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
LKS Lodz
20%
Draws
40%
Stal Mielec
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to LKS Lodz lately — more wins on the board than Stal Mielec.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on LKS Lodz taking it.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
LKS Lodz Clean Sheet 20%
Stal Mielec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LKS Lodz Stal Mielec
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.44 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.3 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Division 1
LKS Lodz vs Stal Mielec
4:0
Jul 1, 2026 Club Friendly
LKS Lodz vs Stal Mielec
0:0
Feb 23, 2026 Division 1
Stal Mielec vs LKS Lodz
1:2
Aug 15, 2025 Division 1
LKS Lodz vs Stal Mielec
2:0
Jul 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Stal Mielec vs LKS Lodz
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

LKS Lodz Compare

Top Goalscorer Arasa A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Keiblinger J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Stal Mielec Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LKS Lodz 85 / 100
Stal Mielec 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LKS Lodz Stal Mielec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LKS Lodz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stal Mielec's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

LKS Lodz's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: LKS Lodz stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

LKS Lodz VS Stal Mielec
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

LKS Lodz

(Home)
02 Nov
LKS Lodz
1 : 1
Polonia Warszawa
26 Oct
Warta Poznan
0 : 1
LKS Lodz
18 Oct
LKS Lodz
1 : 0
Podbeskidzie
11 Oct
LKS Lodz
0 : 2
Ruch Chorzow
19 Sept
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2 : 0
LKS Lodz
Page 1 of 6

Stal Mielec

(Away)
30 Oct
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
0 : 1
Stal Mielec
24 Oct
Stal Mielec
0 : 0
Chrobry Glogow
17 Oct
Legnica
3 : 0
Stal Mielec
11 Oct
Stal Mielec
2 : 1
Warta Poznan
19 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
7 : 1
Stal Mielec
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Warszawa 13 6 4 3 20:15 22
2 Ruch Chorzow 13 6 4 3 17:12 22
3 Lechia Gdansk 13 7 1 5 25:21 22
4 LKS Lodz 13 6 4 3 16:12 22
5 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 13 6 3 4 19:12 21
6 Polonia Bytom 13 5 6 2 23:20 21
7 Termalica Bruk-Bet 13 6 3 4 20:18 21
8 Legnica 14 5 5 4 20:13 20
9 Warta Poznan 13 6 1 6 20:17 19
10 S. Rzeszow 13 5 3 5 18:24 18
11 Pogon Siedlce 13 4 4 5 15:16 16
12 Stal Mielec 13 4 4 5 17:27 16
13 Arka Gdynia 13 4 3 6 16:16 15
14 Podbeskidzie 13 2 9 2 16:17 15
15 Chrobry Glogow 13 3 5 5 13:15 14
16 Puszcza 14 4 2 8 16:20 14
17 Unia Skierniewice 14 4 2 8 20:26 14
18 Odra Opole 14 3 3 8 11:21 12
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)