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LKS Lomza vs Jagiellonia II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I Stadion Miejski w Lomzy, Lomza
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Klups T.
23' Event
Konachowicz J.
70' Event
Pawelczyk O.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I game between LKS Lomza and Jagiellonia II finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jagiellonia II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
LKS Lomza
20%
Draws
70%
Jagiellonia II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jagiellonia II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jagiellonia II come out ahead of LKS Lomza on wins alone.
  • Jagiellonia II are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
LKS Lomza Clean Sheet 10%
Jagiellonia II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LKS Lomza Jagiellonia II
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 8 14
Draws 4 7
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.48 2
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 III Liga - Group I
LKS Lomza vs Jagiellonia II
1:2
May 10, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs LKS Lomza
0:2
Oct 18, 2025 III Liga - Group I
LKS Lomza vs Jagiellonia II
2:0
Mar 22, 2025 III Liga - Group I
LKS Lomza vs Jagiellonia II
2:2
Feb 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Jagiellonia II vs LKS Lomza
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

LKS Lomza Compare

Top Goalscorer Klups T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Jagiellonia II Compare

Top Goalscorer Konachowicz J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pawelczyk O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LKS Lomza 10 / 100
Jagiellonia II 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LKS Lomza Jagiellonia II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jagiellonia II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

LKS Lomza scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Jagiellonia II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

LKS Lomza went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

LKS Lomza VS Jagiellonia II
0.75 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

LKS Lomza

(Home)
10 Oct
Lidzbark Warmimski
3 : 2
LKS Lomza
03 Oct
LKS Lomza
0 : 2
Olimpia Elblag
25 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
4 : 0
LKS Lomza
18 Sept
LKS Lomza
0 : 2
Zabkovia Zabki
12 Sept
Troszyn
1 : 1
LKS Lomza
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Jagiellonia II

(Away)
10 Oct
Zabkovia Zabki
2 : 2
Jagiellonia II
25 Sept
Plock II
2 : 1
Jagiellonia II
19 Sept
Jagiellonia II
2 : 3
LKS Lodz II
12 Sept
Jagiellonia II
7 : 4
MKS Mlawa
05 Sept
LKS Lomza
1 : 2
Jagiellonia II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 12 9 2 1 26:10 29
2 Suwalki 12 7 4 1 22:11 25
3 Pelikan 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
4 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 12 6 3 3 28:22 21
5 Plock II 12 6 3 3 24:19 21
6 Swit Mazowiecki 12 6 2 4 22:19 20
7 Zabkovia Zabki 11 5 2 4 21:20 17
8 Jagiellonia II 11 4 4 3 24:22 16
9 Olimpia Elblag 12 5 1 6 18:21 16
10 Warta Sieradz 11 4 3 4 19:19 15
11 LKS Lodz II 11 4 2 5 23:21 14
12 Widzew Lodz II 11 4 2 5 21:20 14
13 Olimpia Zambrow 11 4 2 5 23:27 14
14 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 11 4 1 6 21:23 13
15 Lidzbark Warmimski 12 3 3 6 19:24 12
16 MKS Mlawa 12 3 1 8 23:34 10
17 Troszyn 11 1 4 6 13:26 7
18 LKS Lomza 12 0 3 9 12:28 3
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)