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Stadium Background

LKS Lomza vs Warta Sieradz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I Stadion Miejski w Lomzy, Lomza
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

LKS Lomza host Warta Sieradz in the III Liga - Group I. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: LKS Lomza at 1.5 goals for, 1.75 against; Warta Sieradz at 1.8 for, 1.37 against. Past meetings favor LKS Lomza slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 22, 2025, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 2.06, favoring Warta Sieradz. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
LKS Lomza
20%
Draws
73%
Warta Sieradz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Warta Sieradz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • LKS Lomza haven't matched Warta Sieradz's recent run of results.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Warta Sieradz taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
LKS Lomza Clean Sheet 10%
Warta Sieradz Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LKS Lomza Warta Sieradz
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 15
Draws 5 8
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.5 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2025 III Liga - Group I
LKS Lomza vs Warta Sieradz
1:1
Aug 2, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Warta Sieradz vs LKS Lomza
1:2
Apr 18, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Warta Sieradz vs LKS Lomza
1:0
Sep 21, 2024 III Liga - Group I
LKS Lomza vs Warta Sieradz
2:4
Mar 23, 2024 III Liga - Group I
LKS Lomza vs Warta Sieradz
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LKS Lomza 18 / 100
Warta Sieradz 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LKS Lomza Warta Sieradz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Warta Sieradz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

LKS Lomza found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Warta Sieradz conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

LKS Lomza went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

LKS Lomza VS Warta Sieradz
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

LKS Lomza

(Home)
31 Oct
LKS Lomza
2 : 3
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
25 Oct
Widzew Lodz II
2 : 2
LKS Lomza
17 Oct
LKS Lomza
0 : 2
Olimpia Zambrow
10 Oct
Lidzbark Warmimski
3 : 2
LKS Lomza
03 Oct
LKS Lomza
0 : 2
Olimpia Elblag
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Warta Sieradz

(Away)
31 Oct
KTS Weszlo
0 : 1
Warta Sieradz
24 Oct
Warta Sieradz
2 : 2
Pelikan
21 Oct
Widzew Lodz II
0 : 1
Warta Sieradz
17 Oct
Warta Sieradz
2 : 1
Plock II
09 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 3
Suwalki
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 15 10 2 3 30:17 32
2 Suwalki 15 9 4 2 30:15 31
3 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 15 8 3 4 36:28 27
4 Swit Mazowiecki 15 8 2 5 28:22 26
5 Zabkovia Zabki 15 7 4 4 29:23 25
6 Warta Sieradz 15 7 4 4 25:22 25
7 Plock II 15 7 4 4 29:24 25
8 Pelikan 15 7 3 5 25:22 24
9 Olimpia Zambrow 15 6 3 6 31:31 21
10 Jagiellonia II 15 5 5 5 27:27 20
11 Widzew Lodz II 15 5 4 6 28:25 19
12 LKS Lodz II 15 5 3 7 27:30 18
13 Olimpia Elblag 15 5 3 7 19:24 18
14 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 15 5 2 8 25:30 17
15 Lidzbark Warmimski 15 4 3 8 25:29 15
16 MKS Mlawa 15 4 2 9 28:41 14
17 Troszyn 15 3 5 7 17:30 14
18 LKS Lomza 15 0 4 11 16:35 4
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)