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Stadium Background

LKS Lomza vs Zabkovia Zabki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I Stadion Miejski w Lomzy, Lomza
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Sliwka K.
75' Event
Sliwka K.
88'
Jampol A.

AI Match Summary

Zabkovia Zabki in this III Liga - Group I matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zabkovia Zabki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
LKS Lomza
20%
Draws
70%
Zabkovia Zabki
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zabkovia Zabki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • LKS Lomza have won more games recently than Zabkovia Zabki.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Zabkovia Zabki taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
LKS Lomza Clean Sheet 10%
Zabkovia Zabki Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LKS Lomza Zabkovia Zabki
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 6
Draws 4 7
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.46 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.54 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 III Liga - Group I
LKS Lomza vs Zabkovia Zabki
0:2
Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Zabkovia Zabki vs LKS Lomza
0:0
Apr 4, 2026 III Liga - Group I
LKS Lomza vs Zabkovia Zabki
3:0
Sep 12, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Zabkovia Zabki vs LKS Lomza
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

LKS Lomza Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Zabkovia Zabki Compare

Top Goalscorer Sliwka K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LKS Lomza 10 / 100
Zabkovia Zabki 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LKS Lomza Zabkovia Zabki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zabkovia Zabki Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zabkovia Zabki has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

LKS Lomza found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

LKS Lomza has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

LKS Lomza VS Zabkovia Zabki
0.75 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

LKS Lomza

(Home)
10 Oct
Lidzbark Warmimski
3 : 2
LKS Lomza
03 Oct
LKS Lomza
0 : 2
Olimpia Elblag
25 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
4 : 0
LKS Lomza
18 Sept
LKS Lomza
0 : 2
Zabkovia Zabki
12 Sept
Troszyn
1 : 1
LKS Lomza
Page 1 of 6

Zabkovia Zabki

(Away)
10 Oct
Zabkovia Zabki
2 : 2
Jagiellonia II
25 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
3 : 4
MKS Mlawa
18 Sept
LKS Lomza
0 : 2
Zabkovia Zabki
11 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
4 : 2
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
05 Sept
KTS Weszlo
2 : 0
Zabkovia Zabki
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 12 9 2 1 26:10 29
2 Suwalki 12 7 4 1 22:11 25
3 Pelikan 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
4 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 12 6 3 3 28:22 21
5 Plock II 12 6 3 3 24:19 21
6 Swit Mazowiecki 12 6 2 4 22:19 20
7 Zabkovia Zabki 11 5 2 4 21:20 17
8 Jagiellonia II 11 4 4 3 24:22 16
9 Olimpia Elblag 12 5 1 6 18:21 16
10 Warta Sieradz 11 4 3 4 19:19 15
11 LKS Lodz II 11 4 2 5 23:21 14
12 Widzew Lodz II 11 4 2 5 21:20 14
13 Olimpia Zambrow 11 4 2 5 23:27 14
14 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 11 4 1 6 21:23 13
15 Lidzbark Warmimski 12 3 3 6 19:24 12
16 MKS Mlawa 12 3 1 8 23:34 10
17 Troszyn 11 1 4 6 13:26 7
18 LKS Lomza 12 0 3 9 12:28 3
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)