Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Llacuabamba vs Cajamarca

Peru Peru

Copa de la Liga Estadio Municipal de Huamachuco, Huamachuco
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Zarate M.
57' Event
Camacho D.
82' Event
Lliuya M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. This leg finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Llacuabamba
35%
Draws
16%
Cajamarca
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Llacuabamba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Llacuabamba lately — more wins on the board than Cajamarca.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Llacuabamba taking it.
  • Llacuabamba have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Llacuabamba Clean Sheet 68%
Cajamarca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llacuabamba Cajamarca
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 7
Draws 7 10
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.39 1.29
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Llacuabamba vs Cajamarca
2:2
Aug 19, 2020 Liga 1
Cajamarca vs Llacuabamba
0:0
Mar 6, 2020 Liga 1
Llacuabamba vs Cajamarca
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llacuabamba Compare

Top Goalscorer Zarate M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Cajamarca Compare

Top Goalscorer Camacho D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lliuya M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llacuabamba 95 / 100
Cajamarca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llacuabamba Cajamarca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Llacuabamba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cajamarca has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Llacuabamba's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Solid form: Llacuabamba remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Llacuabamba VS Cajamarca
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Llacuabamba

(Home)
08 Aug
ADA Jaen
0 : 0
Llacuabamba
01 Aug
Llacuabamba
3 : 0
U. San Martin
19 Jul
Carlos Mannucci
1 : 0
Llacuabamba
20 Jun
FC Cajamarca
1 : 1
Llacuabamba
15 Jun
Llacuabamba
2 : 2
Cajamarca
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Cajamarca

(Away)
22 Aug
Cajamarca
1 : 3
Comerciantes Unidos
16 Aug
A. Lima
1 : 0
Cajamarca
08 Aug
Cajamarca
1 : 1
AD Tarma
01 Aug
Cusco
4 : 1
Cajamarca
26 Jul
Cajamarca
0 : 0
Moquegua
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza Atl. 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Carlos Mannucci 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 A. Lima 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
4 Cesar Vallejo 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADA Jaen 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
2 Juan Pablo II 2 0 2 0 0:0 2
3 Comerciantes Unidos 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cajamarca 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
2 Llacuabamba 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
3 FC Cajamarca 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Grau 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
2 Pirata 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
3 Universitario de Deportes 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Huancayo 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 AD Tarma 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Alianza Huanuco 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Union Minas 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cienciano 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Deportivo Garcilaso 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
3 Binacional 3 1 0 2 5:9 3
4 Cusco 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Los Chankas 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Santos FC 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
3 Ayacucho 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moquegua 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Tacna Heroica 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
3 FBC Melgar 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Boys 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 AD Cantolao 2 1 0 1 4:6 3
3 U. San Martin 2 0 1 1 5:6 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Cristal 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Comerciantes FC 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Union Comercio 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Estudiantil CNI 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)