Sport Picks
Llandudno Junction vs Denbigh
Wales
FA Cup 2017/2018 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-2, with Llandudno Junction advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Denbigh
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Llandudno Junction haven't matched Denbigh's recent run of results.
- 49% — that's where the model lands on Denbigh taking it.
- Denbigh arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Denbigh, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Denbigh have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Llandudno Junction Clean Sheet 20%
Denbigh Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Llandudno Junction | Denbigh |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 37 |
| Wins | 3 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 23 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.83 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.67 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 13, 2018 Cymru Alliance
Llandudno Junction vs Denbigh
1:6
Nov 4, 2017 FAW Welsh Cup
Llandudno Junction vs Denbigh
3:2
Sep 9, 2017 Cymru Alliance
Denbigh vs Llandudno Junction
5:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Llandudno Junction 10 / 100
Denbigh 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Llandudno Junction Denbigh
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Denbigh Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Denbigh conceded in 89% of 37 recent games.
These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.
Llandudno Junction scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Denbigh's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Denbigh
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Llandudno Junction
(Home) 16 Sept
St. Asaph
1 : 0 Llandudno Junction
12 May
Queens Park
2 : 3 Llandudno Junction
05 May
Caersws FC
4 : 1 Llandudno Junction
25 Apr
Flint Town
3 : 1 Llandudno Junction
18 Apr
Llandudno Junction
0 : 5 Caernarfon
Page 1 of 6
18 Apr
Llandudno Junction
0 : 5 Caernarfon
07 Apr
Llandudno Junction
1 : 1 Queens Park
24 Feb
Llandudno Junction
0 : 2 Ruthin Town
17 Feb
Llandudno Junction
0 : 4 Guilsfield
13 Jan
Llandudno Junction
1 : 6 Denbigh
Page 1 of 3
Denbigh
(Away) 11 Sept
Denbigh
5 : 2 Bala
05 Sept
Newtown
1 : 0 Denbigh
31 Aug
Denbigh
1 : 3 Rhyl
28 Aug
Penrhyncoch
2 : 2 Denbigh
21 Aug
Denbigh
2 : 3 Porthmadog
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05 Sept
Newtown
1 : 0 Denbigh
28 Aug
Penrhyncoch
2 : 2 Denbigh
14 Aug
Ruthin Town
2 : 1 Denbigh
01 Aug
Buckley
2 : 4 Denbigh
03 Jul
Colwyn Bay
1 : 2 Denbigh
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bala -
Penybont 1
Undy 0
Ynysygerwn 1
Monmouth 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Bow Street 0
Llanrwst United 0
Saltney Town 6
Briton Ferry 3
Goytre Utd 1
Caldicot 2
Goytre AFC 3
Ammanford Town 1
Aberdare Town 0
Taffs Well 2
Llantwit Major 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Llandudno FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Conwy Borough 5
Bodedern 1
Carno FC 0
Gresford 4
Prestatyn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brickfield Rangers 1
Chirk AAA FC 0
Meliden 0
Ruthin Town 4
Flint Town 3
Llanfair United 0
Llanrug 0
Llay Welfare 1
Llandudno Albion 3
Rhyl 2
Llanidloes Town 1
Buckley 2
Guilsfield 4
Mold Alexandra 0
Corwen 0
Holywell Town FC 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newtown -
Bangor City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bridgend Street 4
Machen 3
Rhayader 1
Cwmamman United 3
Cefn Druids -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Caersws FC -
Prestatyn Sports -
Queens Park 0
Llanrhaeadr 3
Pontypridd United 2
Cambrian United 1
Pontyclun FC 0
Pencoed 1
Aberbargoed Buds 2
Port Talbot 0
Croesyceiliog FC 1
Haverfordwest 2
Llandudno Junction 3
Gaerwen 1
Holyhead 3
Denbigh 4
STM Sports 5
Afan Lido 2
Cardiff Corries 0
Penydarren 4
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Caerphilly 4
Carmarthen Stars 1
Garden Village 3
Penrhyncoch 4
Barry Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Berriew FC 4
Abermule 0
Lex Glyndwr XI 1
Caernarfon 5
Porthmadog 3
Penyffordd 0
Mochdre Sports 1
Penley 2
Ton Pentre 2
Cardiff Draconians 1
Abergavenny Town 1
Panteg 3
Cwmbran Celtic 1
Caerau Ely 0
Aberaeron 1
Llanelli 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
1/32-finals
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
Bala -
Penybont 2
Monmouth 1
TBD -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Airbus UK Broughton FC 4
Saltney Town 0
Briton Ferry 1
Goytre AFC 2
Ammanford Town 2
Llantwit Major 1
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Llandudno FC -
TBD -
Conwy Borough 1
Gresford 5
Prestatyn -
TBD -
Brickfield Rangers 2
Ruthin Town 4
Flint Town 3
Llay Welfare 1
Llandudno Albion 1
Buckley 2
Guilsfield 3
Holywell Town FC 2
TBD -
Newtown -
Bangor City -
TBD -
Bridgend Street 0
Cwmamman United 3
Cefn Druids -
TBD -
Caersws FC 1
Llanrhaeadr 2
Pontypridd United 3
Pencoed 1
Aberbargoed Buds 0
Haverfordwest 2
Llandudno Junction 3
Denbigh 2
STM Sports 1
Penydarren 2
TNS -
TBD -
Caerphilly 2
Penrhyncoch 4
Barry Town -
TBD -
Berriew FC 1
Caernarfon 4
Porthmadog 10
Penley 0
Ton Pentre 1
Panteg 2
Cwmbran Celtic 2
Llanelli 1
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
1/16-finals
Aberystwyth 4
Bala 0
Penybont 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 3
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Goytre AFC 2
Ammanford Town 2
Carmarthen Town 3
Llandudno FC 4
Gresford 0
Prestatyn 0
Ruthin Town 3
Flint Town 1
Buckley 0
Guilsfield 0
Newtown 2
Bangor City 4
Cwmamman United 3
Cefn Druids 2
Llanrhaeadr 3
Pontypridd United 3
Haverfordwest 1
Llandudno Junction 0
Penydarren 4
TNS 6
Penrhyncoch 0
Barry Town 0
Caernarfon 2
Porthmadog 7
Panteg 2
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Connahs Q. 3
1/8-finals
Aberystwyth 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
Carmarthen Town 4
Llandudno FC 4
Ruthin Town 3
Flint Town 2
Newtown 3
Bangor City 3
Llanrhaeadr 2
Pontypridd United 1
Penydarren 2
TNS 3
Caernarfon 1
Porthmadog 1
Connahs Q. 3
Quarter-finals
Aberystwyth 3
Carmarthen Town 1
Llandudno FC 0
Newtown 2
Bangor City 7
Penydarren 0
TNS 1
Connahs Q. 2
Semi-finals
Aberystwyth 2
Newtown 1
Bangor City 1
Connahs Q. 6
Final
Aberystwyth 1
Connahs Q. 4
