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Llanelli vs Haverfordwest

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier 2025/2026 Stebonheath Park, Llanelli
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Hawkins D.
32'
Sub
Lester J. In: Baker J.
Out: Lester J.
35'
McCarthy K.

AI Match Summary

Haverfordwest in this Cymru Premier 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Haverfordwest.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Llanelli
20%
Draws
73%
Haverfordwest
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Haverfordwest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Haverfordwest lately — more wins on the board than Llanelli.
  • Win probability leans Haverfordwest's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Haverfordwest here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Llanelli Clean Sheet 11%
Haverfordwest Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llanelli Haverfordwest
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 1 16
Draws 5 2
Losses 23 10
Goals Scored 0.55 1.54
Goals Conceded 2.83 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Haverfordwest vs Llanelli
8:0
Apr 18, 2026 Cymru Premier
Haverfordwest vs Llanelli
6:0
Feb 20, 2026 Cymru Premier
Llanelli vs Haverfordwest
0:1
Dec 26, 2025 Cymru Premier
Haverfordwest vs Llanelli
3:0
Oct 17, 2025 FAW Welsh Cup
Llanelli vs Haverfordwest
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llanelli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Haverfordwest Compare

Top Goalscorer Hawkins D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llanelli 10 / 100
Haverfordwest 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llanelli Haverfordwest

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Haverfordwest Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Llanelli's goal record stands at 45% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Haverfordwest conceded in 54% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Llanelli stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Llanelli VS Haverfordwest
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Llanelli

(Home)
11 Sept
Caerau Ely
3 : 0
Llanelli
04 Sept
Llanelli
0 : 2
Treowen
31 Aug
Aberystwyth
4 : 0
Llanelli
28 Aug
Llanelli
2 : 2
Carmarthen Town
22 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
4 : 2
Llanelli
Page 1 of 6

Haverfordwest

(Away)
18 Sept
Haverfordwest
1 : 0
Holywell Town FC
11 Sept
Haverfordwest
3 : 1
Briton Ferry
04 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 1
Haverfordwest
31 Aug
Haverfordwest
2 : 1
Trefelin
28 Aug
Llandudno FC
2 : 0
Haverfordwest
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Haverfordwest 32 14 6 12 48:43 48
8 Briton Ferry 32 12 9 11 46:47 45
9 Cardiff Metropolitan University 32 8 14 10 43:51 38
10 Flint Town 32 8 11 13 48:59 35
11 Bala 32 8 8 16 33:45 32
12 Llanelli 32 3 4 25 17:82 13
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)