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Llanelli vs Penybont

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier 2025/2026 Stebonheath Park, Llanelli
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Pennock A.
37'
Cvetkovic A.
41'
Cronin S.

AI Match Summary

Penybont in this Cymru Premier 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Penybont.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Llanelli
20%
Draws
70%
Penybont
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Penybont

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Penybont have won more games recently than Llanelli.
  • Model gives Penybont a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Llanelli Clean Sheet 10%
Penybont Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llanelli Penybont
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 4 8
Draws 4 7
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 0.66 1.04
Goals Conceded 2.59 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 0.60 2.16
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 1, 2026 Cymru Premier
Llanelli vs Penybont
0:1
Aug 25, 2025 Cymru Premier
Penybont vs Llanelli
2:0
Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Penybont vs Llanelli
0:2
Nov 10, 2023 FA Cup
Llanelli vs Penybont
4:3
Mar 7, 2018 Division 1
Llanelli vs Penybont
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llanelli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.3

Penybont Compare

Top Goalscorer Cvetkovic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.96
Avg xA / game 1.2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llanelli 10 / 100
Penybont 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llanelli Penybont

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penybont let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Llanelli's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Llanelli stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Llanelli VS Penybont
0.57 Goals Scored 0.75
3.57 Goals Conceded 0.63
86% Over 1.5 50%
71% Over 2.5 13%
57% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Llanelli

(Home)
07 Aug
Llanelli
1 : 1
Trethomas Bluebirds
31 Jul
Llanelli
1 : 4
Newport City
25 Jul
Haverfordwest
8 : 0
Llanelli
18 Apr
Haverfordwest
6 : 0
Llanelli
03 Apr
Llanelli
0 : 5
Bala
Page 1 of 6

Penybont

(Away)
07 Aug
Caernarfon
1 : 2
Penybont
02 Aug
Penybont
0 : 0
TNS
16 Jul
FC Santa Coloma
3 : 0
Penybont
09 Jul
Penybont
0 : 1
FC Santa Coloma
23 Jun
Trethomas Bluebirds
0 : 3
Penybont
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 22 17 2 3 59:19 53
2 Connahs Q. 22 14 5 3 48:25 47
3 Penybont 22 11 5 6 36:31 38
4 Caernarfon 22 9 7 6 44:32 34
5 Barry Town 22 7 9 6 33:25 30
6 Colwyn Bay 22 8 6 8 29:25 30
7 Cardiff Metropolitan University 22 6 10 6 33:36 28
8 Briton Ferry 22 6 7 9 32:40 25
9 Haverfordwest 22 6 6 10 30:39 24
10 Bala 22 6 5 11 19:30 23
11 Flint Town 22 5 6 11 34:48 21
12 Llanelli 22 2 2 18 12:59 8
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)