Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Llanelli vs Treowen

Wales Wales

Cymru South
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Roberts S.
59' Event
Davies C.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Treowen in this Cymru South matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Treowen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Llanelli
20%
Draws
73%
Treowen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Treowen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Treowen lately — more wins on the board than Llanelli.
  • Treowen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Llanelli Clean Sheet 10%
Treowen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llanelli Treowen
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 3 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 23 11
Goals Scored 0.74 2.07
Goals Conceded 2.65 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 3.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Cymru South
Llanelli vs Treowen
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llanelli Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Treowen Compare

Top Goalscorer Roberts S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.9
Avg xA / game 1.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llanelli 10 / 100
Treowen 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llanelli Treowen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Treowen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Treowen conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Llanelli found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (31 games).

Recent resilience: Llanelli stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Llanelli VS Treowen
0.75 Goals Scored 2.38
4 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Llanelli

(Home)
11 Sept
Caerau Ely
3 : 0
Llanelli
04 Sept
Llanelli
0 : 2
Treowen
31 Aug
Aberystwyth
4 : 0
Llanelli
28 Aug
Llanelli
2 : 2
Carmarthen Town
22 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
4 : 2
Llanelli
Page 1 of 7

Treowen

(Away)
12 Sept
Treowen
1 : 1
Llantwit Major
04 Sept
Llanelli
0 : 2
Treowen
31 Aug
Caerau Ely
3 : 2
Treowen
22 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 4
Treowen
15 Aug
Treowen
3 : 0
Caerphilly
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pure Swansea 6 5 1 0 22:5 16
2 Aberystwyth 6 5 0 1 19:7 15
3 Treowen 7 4 1 2 16:10 13
4 Pontypridd United 6 4 1 1 16:11 13
5 Baglan Dragons 8 4 1 3 8:8 13
6 Carmarthen Town 7 3 2 2 17:16 11
7 Caerau Ely 7 3 1 3 16:17 10
8 Afan Lido 8 3 1 4 13:15 10
9 Trethomas Bluebirds 7 2 3 2 14:13 9
10 Ynyshir Albions 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
11 Caerphilly 7 2 2 3 7:12 8
12 Cardiff Draconians 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
13 Newport City 5 2 0 3 9:5 6
14 Pontardawe 6 1 0 5 5:13 3
15 Llanelli 8 0 2 6 6:23 2
16 Llantwit Major 5 0 1 4 2:15 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)