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Llanera vs Alaves B

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Pinillos Wilson L.
33' Event
Gonzalez D.
58' Event
Pinillos Wilson L.

AI Match Summary

Alaves B in this Segunda RFEF - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alaves B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Llanera
15%
Draws
39%
Alaves B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Llanera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Alaves B haven't matched Llanera's recent run of results.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Llanera taking it.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Llanera Clean Sheet 20%
Alaves B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llanera Alaves B
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 24 15
Draws 2 9
Losses 3 5
Goals Scored 2.03 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.66 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Llanera vs Alaves B
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llanera Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Alaves B Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinillos Wilson L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llanera 49 / 100
Alaves B 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llanera Alaves B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Llanera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Llanera scored in 97% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Llanera stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Alaves B's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Llanera VS Alaves B
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Llanera

(Home)
13 Sept
Llanera
1 : 2
Alaves B
05 Sept
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
2 : 1
Llanera
18 Aug
Gijon B
2 : 2
Llanera
14 Aug
Aviles Stadium
0 : 1
Llanera
07 Aug
Llanera
1 : 0
Lealtad
Page 1 of 6

Alaves B

(Away)
13 Sept
Llanera
1 : 2
Alaves B
05 Sept
Alaves B
0 : 2
Coruxo FC
22 Aug
Alaves B
1 : 2
Amorebieta
21 Aug
Naxara
0 : 1
Alaves B
17 May
Alaves B
0 : 2
Jaen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ourense CF 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Sestao 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
3 Gernika Club 2 1 1 0 6:2 4
4 Coruxo FC 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
5 Bergantinos 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
6 Portugalete 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
7 Marino De Luanco 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
8 Basconia 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
9 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
10 Eibar B 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
11 Alaves B 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
12 Real Oviedo B 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
13 Amorebieta 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
14 Rayo Cantabria 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
15 Compostela 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
16 Arosa SC 2 0 1 1 2:6 1
17 Atletico Astorga 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
18 Llanera 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)