Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Llaneros vs Aguilas Doradas

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Bello Horizonte
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Llaneros play Aguilas Doradas in the Primera A. It looks like a close match. Recently, Llaneros averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Aguilas Doradas averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, Llaneros won 1, Aguilas Doradas won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 2, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Llaneros and 1.19 for Aguilas Doradas. This points to a Aguilas Doradas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Llaneros
32%
Draws
38%
Aguilas Doradas
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Aguilas Doradas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Llaneros picked up more points recently compared to Aguilas Doradas.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Llaneros Clean Sheet 20%
Aguilas Doradas Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llaneros Aguilas Doradas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 10 9
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.9 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2026 Primera A
Llaneros vs Aguilas Doradas
1:1
Sep 20, 2025 Primera A
Llaneros vs Aguilas Doradas
0:1
Apr 7, 2025 Primera A
Aguilas Doradas vs Llaneros
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llaneros Compare

Top Goalscorer Caicedo K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Aguilas Doradas Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivaldo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llaneros 31 / 100
Aguilas Doradas 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llaneros Aguilas Doradas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Aguilas Doradas or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.3%
2.86
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Llaneros attacking → ← attacking Aguilas Doradas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Llaneros scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Aguilas Doradas let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Llaneros went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Aguilas Doradas lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 45
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atl. Nacional19131535:1540
2Junior19112631:2435
3Dep. Pasto19104529:2534
4America De Cali19103625:1533
5Once Caldas1989231:2233
6Deportes Tolima1987427:1731
7Santa Fe1978429:2229
8Inter Bogotá1977526:2628
9Dep. Cali1976620:1627
10Millonarios1975731:2326
11Ind. Medellin1975726:2426
12Aguilas Doradas1975720:2526
13Bucaramanga1958626:2023
14Llaneros19410517:2022
15Fortaleza C.E.I.F.1957722:2722
16Jaguares de Cordoba19531120:3318
17Alianza1938813:2717
18Chico19521215:3217
19Cucuta1937922:3516
20Dep. Pereira19171115:3210