Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Llaneros W vs Dep. Pasto W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women Estadio Bello Horizonte
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Pulgarin L.
45'
Moreno A.
46'
Sub
Marin S. In: Quinones C.
Out: Marin S.

AI Match Summary

Llaneros W host Dep. Pasto W in the Liga Women. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Dep. Pasto W have shipped 1.63 goals a game lately, while Llaneros W have conceded 1.88 and scored 0.75. Past meetings favor Llaneros W slightly — 3-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 18, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.19, favoring Llaneros W. Llaneros W in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Llaneros W
33%
Draws
40%
Dep. Pasto W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Dep. Pasto W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Llaneros W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Dep. Pasto W.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Dep. Pasto W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga Women provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Llaneros W Clean Sheet 20%
Dep. Pasto W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llaneros W Dep. Pasto W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 5 9
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 0.75 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2026 Liga Women
Llaneros W vs Dep. Pasto W
2:0
Mar 9, 2024 Liga Women
Llaneros W vs Dep. Pasto W
1:0
Mar 26, 2023 Liga Women
Dep. Pasto W vs Llaneros W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llaneros W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mausa M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jaime L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Dep. Pasto W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llaneros W 28 / 100
Dep. Pasto W 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llaneros W Dep. Pasto W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Llaneros W scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Dep. Pasto W let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Llaneros W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Dep. Pasto W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Llaneros W VS Dep. Pasto W
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Nacional W13110225:533
2Dep. Cali W13102129:632
3America de Cali W1392222:629
4Millonarios W1384128:728
5Indep. Santa Fe W1374223:925
6Inter Bogotá W1371519:1422
7Inter Palmira W1363412:1521
8Ind. Medellin W1361620:1519
9Orsomarso W1336413:1315
10Fortaleza W133469:1813
11Llaneros W133469:2113
12Junior W1325611:2111
13Bucaramanga W132299:338
14Once Caldas W131485:197
15Real Santander W130763:197
16Dep. Pasto W1303108:243